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Black Swan Connection July 2019

Posted By Administration, Friday, July 19, 2019

July 2019

                

 6,462     1,414       472         8           6


Our goal with the Black Swan Connection is to provide our subscribers, investors and financial professional compatriots outstanding investment insight that is a step above and outside of what will normally be found in mainstream financial press. To that end we have brought together seasoned, successful, and some of the brightest professionals in their respective fields to provide the articles and advice that is based on decades of practice in the field.

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Breaking News

The Street July 16-2019

What Jim Cramer's Paying Attention to in JPMorgan Chase's Earnings Report

Earnings season has officially kicked off. 

Tuesday morning saw earnings from banks such as Real Money stock of the day JPMorgan Chase (JPM - Get Report) and Goldman Sachs (GS - Get Report) . 

JPMorgan reported that net income in the quarter rose by 16% to $9.65 billion. The company announced earnings per share at $2.82, which beat the $2.50 average EPS estimate that analysts expected, according to FactSet.

See Report

 

Feature Article

July 2019

The Unintended Consequences of Chaos

By: Dave Lavigne

It’s fascinating how sometimes seemingly unrelated things create a web of complexities that ultimately demonstrate how interrelated things might actually be. I think that notion falls into the guise of Chaos Theory or at least some portion of it.

Just to edify, www.fractalfoundation.org defines Chaos Theory as follows:

“Chaos is the science of surprises, of the nonlinear and the unpredictable. It teaches us to expect the unexpected. While most traditional science deals with supposedly predictable phenomena like gravity, electricity, or chemical reactions, Chaos Theory deals with nonlinear things that are effectively impossible to predict or control, like turbulence, weather, the stock market, our brain states, and so on. These phenomena are often described by fractal mathematics, which captures the infinite complexity of nature. Many natural objects exhibit fractal properties, including landscapes, clouds, trees, organs, rivers etc, and many of the systems in which we live exhibit complex, chaotic behavior. Recognizing the chaotic, fractal nature of our world can give us new insight, power, and wisdom. For example, by understanding the complex, chaotic dynamics of the atmosphere, a balloon pilot can “steer” a balloon to a desired location. By understanding that our ecosystems, our social systems, and our economic systems are interconnected, we can hope to avoid actions which may end up being detrimental to our long-term well-being”.  

As an adjunct to the above, some may be more familiar with one of Chaos’s often used examples:  “Does the flap of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil set off a tornado in Texas”?

Read Complete Article

 

7-16-19 Antibe Therapeutics, Inc. TSXV:ATE, OTCQB:ATBPF)

Antibe Therapeutics Reports 2019 Year-End Financial and Operating Results

Antibe Therapeutics Inc. ("Antibe" or the “Company”) (TSXV:ATE, OTCQB:ATBPF) filed its financial and operating results on Tuesday, July 16 for the fourth quarter and the year ended March 31, 2019. The Company's audited 2019 consolidated financial statements, MD&A and AIF are available on SEDAR.

About Antibe Therapeutics Inc.
Antibe develops safer, non-addictive medicines for pain and inflammation. Antibe’s technology involves linking a hydrogen sulfide-releasing molecule to an existing drug to produce a patented, improved medicine. Antibe’s lead drug ATB-346 targets the global need for a safer, non-addictive drug for chronic pain and inflammation.

Read Complete Press Release

 

7-11-19 Trickle Research issues update and allocation increase to 7
AzurRx Biopharma, Inc.  NASDAQ AZRX
12-24 Month Price Target $10.25

AZRX made the following announcement the other day regarding a new clinical trial they are preparing. They also hosted a call to discuss the logic behind the trial. Here is that release: AzurRx BioPharma Announces Initiation of Phase 2 Clinical Study for MS1819-SD in combination with standard PERT for Cystic Fibrosis Patients with Severe Exocrine Pancreatic Insufficiency

  • Dose escalation study of MS1819-SD in combination with standard porcine pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy (PERT) in CF patients with severe exocrine pancreatic insufficiency (EPI)
  • .Patients in study have persistent malnutrition and clinical symptoms of fat malabsorption despite being on the maximum daily doses of PERTs.
  • First patient visits have been completed in Hungary.
  • Preliminary data expected in early 2020.

NEW YORK, July 08, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) --AzurRx BioPharma, Inc. (AZRX) (AzurRx or the Company), a company specializing in the development of non-systemic, recombinant therapies for gastrointestinal diseases, today announced that it has initiated a Phase 2 clinical trial to investigate MS1819-SD in combination with standard porcine enzyme replacement therapy (PERT) for patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) that suffer from severe exocrine pancreatic insufficiency (EPI), but continue to experience clinical symptoms of fat malabsorption despite taking the maximum daily dose of PERTs.

Read Complete Report

 

 6-6-2019 Greenridge Global Equity Research Issues Update Guangdong Land Holdings, Ltd. HKSE 0124
Maintaining rating and Buy target HK$ 4.75

Hou Wailin Joins GDL As Chairman Of The Board

Hou Wailin Joins GDL as Chairman of the Board.  Effective yesterday, June 5, Chairman Huang Xiaofeng tendered his resignation as Non-Executive Director and Chairman of the Board after reaching his retirement age.  Chairman Huang served in these positions for roughly ten years and oversaw the transition from Kingway Brewery to a real estate development firm.  Concurrent with this announcement, Mr. Hou Wailin was appointed Non-Executive Director and Chairman of the Board.  Mr. Hou was appointed Chairman of Guangdong Holdings and GDH Limited, the ultimate parent companies of GDL, in May 2019.  Previous experience includes serving as Chairman of Guangdong Technology Financial Group and as Director-General of Guangdong Regulatory Bureau of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (“CSRC”) and Chief Inspector of the General Inspection Taskforce of CSRC.  Similar to Chairman Huang, Chairman Hou will not receive any compensation for this position.  We do not expect any significant shifts in the direction of GDL with this change.

AGM Today.  The AGM will be held later today (June 6, 2019) at 3pm in the Concord Room of the Renaissance Hotel in Wan Chai.

Model Update.  We have made no changes to our model as we expect a continuation of the current business model.

Maintaining Rating & Target.  With no changes to our model we are reiterating our Buy rating and HK$4.75 target price on Guangdong Land.  We continue to believe the current share price does not accurately reflect the underlying value of the Company’s real estate portfolio or the GDH City project.  Our target price is based on our DCF model that covers GDL’s entire project portfolio, discounted at 6.5%.

Read Complete Report

 

 6-4-19 Trickle Research Issues Allocation Update Report
Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc.  Nasdaq (WISA) 
12-24 Month Price Target $9.25

Allocation 5

2Summit recently completed a secondary offering of roughly 4.1 million shares at $1.33 per share for gross proceeds of about $5.4 million. We are pleased that they were able to put some additional needed working capital in the bank, although we were not particularly happy about the pricing it was done at. We won’t re-beat the dead horse, but as we have noted many times, for small emerging companies like Summit that are dependent on equity raises until they can advance the business to positive cash flow, the specter of unknown amounts of additional dilution can provide significant headwinds for share prices. Below is some narrative we provided in our recent conference overview of the Company, that we think is still germane and provides a good backdrop for our allocation increase: We commenced coverage of Summit in September 2018 with a 12-24 month price target of $9.25.

Click Here for Complete Report

 

New Distribution Partner for SMM

In addition to our ongoing growth in distribution we have added a new very important distribution partner in Quote Media.

https://www.quotemedia.com/

They are the premier provider of quote and news services to the financial Industry in North America. They current have some 675 subscribers and publishers of their quote and news feeds including major stock exchanges like NASDAQ and the Toronto Stock Exchange and an extensive list of portfolio managers both in North America and abroad.

All Research updates, releases and news articles will automatically be uploaded from SMM to Quote Media through our RSS feed and will be then ticker tagged and distributed across the Quote Media network in real Time.

This will begin next week and is provided by SMM at no additional charge.

If you have any questions, please feel free to email or give me a call.

 

SMM Coverage-Special Situations

Elio Motors, Inc. (ELIO) $1.42 7-18-19

Petition for class action lawsuit
 

SHORT- Elio Motors, Inc. –ELIO Nov-2016  $11.80  Dec 17-18 price $3.15 starting to slip slide away again. (nice chance to add to short if you can get a borrow on ELIO).  Last news was almost 5 months ago from company. Still on perpetual begathon for new reservations. Still needs $300 million plus another $545,000 to cover this fine, but reality is that this car cannot be built for the price he talks about.

Nothing new in SEC Filings and no news now for 7 months- That’s NOT good news

Posted by u/snugglesdog

Petition to file class action lawsuit against Elio Motors

This is a petition to file a class action lawsuit against Elio Motors. They keep accepting reservations for cars but they have no problem delaying and pushing back the release date of the vehicle. This petition should at the very least, garner enough support to initiate a class action lawsuit that allows customers to get their reservation cost back immediately or in the near future. Should the release date be pushed back yet another time, I suggest some sort of government interference to either shutdown or temporarily prevent their ability to collect funds from more unsuspecting buyers.

Sign up here

Won’t be long now..

Beginning of the end… Hope Paul saved up some bail money, that’s coming next in this 3 wheel ponzi scheme…

 

July-19 MODEL PORTFOLIO FOR TRICKLE RESEARCH, LLC.:

 

Initiation

 

Price

Initiation

Price @

 

Stock

Symbol

Date

Allocation

Target

Cost Px.

7/16/2019

 

SRAX (Social Reality)

SRAX

Multiple

5

$15.00

$1.79

$4.71

 

Pure Cycle

PCYO

5/5/17

3

$12.00

$7.60

$10.89

 

Command Center

CCNI

9/8/17

5

$8.75

$4.44

$5.84

 

Endurance Exploration

EXPL

11/6/17

3

$0.29

$0.18

$0.12

 

Assure Holdings Corp.

ARHH

11/10/17

5

$6.00

$2.90

$1.20

 

AzurRx BioPharma

AZRZ

2/7/18

7

$10.25

$2.96

$1.10

 

Camino Minerals, Corp

CAMZF

4/6/18

4

$0.90

$0.26

$0.09

 

PetroShare Corp

PRHR

5/31/18

5

$2.65

$1.44

$0.19

 

Gold Resource Corp

GORO

7/30/18

5

$7.35

$6.49

$3.45

 

Summit Wirelss

WISA

9/28/18

5

$9.25

$4.30

$1.10

 

Alvoperto Energy, Ltd.

ALVOF

11/7/18

5

$1.10

$0.39

$0.64

 

SG Blocks

SGBX

2/28/19

5

$6.25

$2.84

$0.86

 

H-Source Holdings

HSCHF

4/9/19

4

$0.19

$.06

$0.04

 

 

 

Initiation

 Termination 

 

Price

Initiation

Termination

Terminated Coverage

Symbol

Date

Date

Allocation

Target

Price

Price

ID Watchdog

IDW

10/13/16

8/28/2017

4

$0.42

$0.14

$0.40

GrowGeneration

GRWG

6/20/17

12/21/17

4

$3.40

$2.00

       $3.44  

Barfresh Food Group

BRFH

 

8/20/18

1

 

$0.55

$0.53

Semler Scientific

SMLR

12/27/17

11/7/18

    4

$15.00

$8.00

$31.99

New Jersey Mining

NJMC

4-18

5/16/19

           3

$0.30

$0.12

$1.31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

For complete details and assumptions please see the assumptions and explanations document Click Here

 

 

For a review and details on 2017 performance and model portfolio assumptions  Click Here

 

 

*Please note Dave Lavigne in the principal in Trickle Research and is also the editor of the Black Swan Connection Newsletter and an ongoing contributor to SMM.

 

July 18-19

COMPANY QUOTES, LISTINGS RESEARCH AND NEWS

Company

   

Premium

Research

News

(listing, quotes, news, research)

 

Profile

Updates

Updates

Alvopetro Energy, Ltd. (ALVOF)

 

Profile

  06/20/19

News

Antibe Therapeutics, Inc (ATBPF)

 

 Profile

11/11/18

News

AzuerRx Biopharma, Inc. (AZRX)

 

07/11/19

News

Camino Minerals Corp. (CAMZF)

 

04/06/18

News

Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)

 

Profile

 

News

Clean Coal Technologies, Inc (CCTC)

Profile

 

News

Command Center , Inc. (CCNI)

   

11/13/18

News

Endurance Exploration Group, Ltd (EXPL)

 

 Profile

  03-26/19

News

FULLSHARE HOLDINGS LTD. (607) HK

 

09/07/18

News

Guangdong Land Holdings Limited (124) HK

06-06/19

News

H-Source Holdings, Ltd (HSCHF)

04/09/19         

News

Petroshare Corp. (PRHR)

 

08/23/18

 

Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc.

   

  06/04/19

News

Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX)

   

02/05/19

News

 

 

Go to ValuEngine.com

    
 

July 15th, 2019  by Paul Henneman

ValuEngine Market Valuation update for the week of July 12, 2019. Stock pick of the week is ticker GOL (Gol Linhas-ADR). Roughly 62% of about 4,000 stocks covered remain undervalued. All sector valuations updated.

www.ValuEngine.com to log in, or free two-week full trial. Over 5,000 stocks, 16 sector groups, 140 plus industries covered every day.

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 37.89% of our stocks assigned a

valuation and 14.72% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.

Read Full Report

 

 

SMM Research Subscription Service.
Black Swan Research

Subscribers will get Real Time notification as Research Reports and updates are available as well as latest press releases and news on the companies covered.

Black Swan Research coverage is a compilation of some of the best independent providers of Micro Cap Research.  The service focuses on micro-cap companies that are typically not followed by Wall Street analysts.  In addition our subscription research service includes ValuEngine research on over 5,000 stocks with stock valuations, Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations, and forecasted target prices.

 Click Here for Complete Description

See Below for current coverage and info regarding our Research providers

Trickle Research Click Here for More info>>

*Research on the following companies is available to BS Research or Trickle research subscribers only

  • Pure Cycle (PCYO)  -
  • Semler Scientific, Inc. (SMLR)

Greenridge Global, LLC Click Here for More Info>>

ValuEngine Click Here for More Info >>

ValuEngine.com (VE) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available.

To Subscribe Please click Here
 

 

Reg A or D 506(c)

If you have a Reg A or 506(c) offering you would like us to distribute to our database, please give us a ring or email to:
727-823-3987
cdilley@smm.global


Event Calendar Updates

Summer doldrums- Nothing coming up immediately

The National Investment Banking Association (NIBA) is proud to host its 147th investment conference on November 12-13, 2019 at The Westin New York at Times Square in New York, NY.

Click Here for Details


Carl Dilley
cdilley@smm.global

 

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