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Black Swan Connection June 2019

Posted By Administration, Wednesday, June 19, 2019

June 2019

                

 6,462     1,414       472         8           6


Our goal with the Black Swan Connection is to provide our subscribers, investors and financial professional compatriots outstanding investment insight that is a step above and outside of what will normally be found in mainstream financial press. To that end we have brought together seasoned, successful, and some of the brightest professionals in their respective fields to provide the articles and advice that is based on decades of practice in the field.

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Breaking News

Feature Article - June 2019

Sometimes Less is More

By: Dave Lavigne

Last month I talked a bit about the impact that the changing political winds might have on capital flows and investments, which of course eventually leads to stock prices.  Just to reiterate, I am an unapologetic capitalist, so when I see U.S. presidential candidates speaking in earnest about “democratic socialism” and people seem to be paying attention, it raises my draconian senses.  Certainly, one of the higher profile areas of debate is of course healthcare, which many recent polls have identified as the hot button issue for the current election cycle. Given the breadth of the issue, that is not surprising, after all, it is an issue that touches a greater portion of the electorate than most, it makes up an increasing portion of overall GDP, employment etc. and as I noted last month the industry is a mass of complexities that make solutions illusive.

One of the issues I have been harping on as of late is the idea that those pushing for greater controls on the industry need to be careful what they wish for and perhaps nowhere is that notion more cogent than with pharmaceutical prices. Touching on a few of the high-level arguments, anyone who pays for prescriptions can attest that they seem to be getting more expensive, and that recognition is probably enhanced by higher overall deductibles (another growing pain point for consumers), which tend to bring those prices to the forefront especially for patients paying for prescriptions out of pocket (for instance) prior to meeting deductibles.

Read Complete Article

 6-6-2019 Greenridge Global Equity Research Issues Update Guangdong Land Holdings, Ltd. HKSE 0124
Maintaining rating and Buy target HK$ 4.75

Hou Wailin Joins GDL As Chairman Of The Board

Hou Wailin Joins GDL as Chairman of the Board.  Effective yesterday, June 5, Chairman Huang Xiaofeng tendered his resignation as Non-Executive Director and Chairman of the Board after reaching his retirement age.  Chairman Huang served in these positions for roughly ten years and oversaw the transition from Kingway Brewery to a real estate development firm.  Concurrent with this announcement, Mr. Hou Wailin was appointed Non-Executive Director and Chairman of the Board.  Mr. Hou was appointed Chairman of Guangdong Holdings and GDH Limited, the ultimate parent companies of GDL, in May 2019.  Previous experience includes serving as Chairman of Guangdong Technology Financial Group and as Director-General of Guangdong Regulatory Bureau of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (“CSRC”) and Chief Inspector of the General Inspection Taskforce of CSRC.  Similar to Chairman Huang, Chairman Hou will not receive any compensation for this position.  We do not expect any significant shifts in the direction of GDL with this change.

AGM Today.  The AGM will be held later today (June 6, 2019) at 3pm in the Concord Room of the Renaissance Hotel in Wan Chai.

Model Update.  We have made no changes to our model as we expect a continuation of the current business model.

Maintaining Rating & Target.  With no changes to our model we are reiterating our Buy rating and HK$4.75 target price on Guangdong Land.  We continue to believe the current share price does not accurately reflect the underlying value of the Company’s real estate portfolio or the GDH City project.  Our target price is based on our DCF model that covers GDL’s entire project portfolio, discounted at 6.5%.

Read Complete Report

 6-4-19 Trickle Research Issues Allocation Update Report
Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc.  Nasdaq (WISA) 
12-24 Month Price Target $9.25

Allocation 5

2Summit recently completed a secondary offering of roughly 4.1 million shares at $1.33 per share for gross proceeds of about $5.4 million. We are pleased that they were able to put some additional needed working capital in the bank, although we were not particularly happy about the pricing it was done at. We won’t re-beat the dead horse, but as we have noted many times, for small emerging companies like Summit that are dependent on equity raises until they can advance the business to positive cash flow, the specter of unknown amounts of additional dilution can provide significant headwinds for share prices. Below is some narrative we provided in our recent conference overview of the Company, that we think is still germane and provides a good backdrop for our allocation increase: We commenced coverage of Summit in September 2018 with a 12-24 month price target of $9.25.

Click Here for Complete Report

4-9-19 Trickle Research Initiates Research
H Source Holdings, Ltd., TSXV (HSI.V) OTCQB (HSCHF) 
12-24 Month Price Target $0.19

H-Source Holdings Ltd. (“HSI”)is a technology company operating within the healthcare industry. H-Source has developed a proprietary hospital-to-hospital transaction platform that provides a private, secure and trusted marketplace for member hospitals to buy/sell/transfer excess inventory supplies and capital equipment with each other. Members can conduct secure transactions within Integrated Delivery Networks (IDNs), Group Purchasing Organizations (GPOs), the complete H-Source network, or customize their own group of hospitals using our built-in filters and reporting. This network is designed specifically to reduce health care costs and medical products waste. The Company was incorporated in 2014 as the vision of Company Founder Murray Walden. Mr. Walden spent 15 years as “a medical device sales representative and manager for multiple companies ranging from specialty distributors to Fortune 500 companies”. During that time, he developed a considerable base of tribal knowledge regarding the healthcare industry, especially with respect to hospital supply chains, inventories and other critical processes as well as a deep understanding of major industry components such as Group Purchasing Organizations “GPO” and Integrated Delivery Networks “IDN”. That experience led him to the founding/development of the H-Source platform/marketplace. In the process of forming the Company, Mr. Walden solicited the help of current CEO John Kupice to help develop a business plan and other critical parts of the launch. As we will illustrate further in this report, Mr. Kupice’s professional endeavors included a variety of disciplines that were particularly germane to the platform H-Source was attempting to develop including healthcare, technology and finance experiences.

Read Complete Report

5-29-19 Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)
Canbiola sets annual shareholder meeting for Friday June 14-2019

HICKSVILLE, NY, May 29, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- via NEWMEDIAWIRE -- Canbiola, Inc. (OTCQB: CANB) (“Canbiola” or the “Company”), a developer, manufacturer, and seller of a variety of Cannabidiol (Hemp) based products such as oils, creams, moisturizers, chews, isolate, gel caps, and concentrate is pleased to announce that its Annual Shareholder Meeting will take place on Friday, June 14.

Click Here for Complete Release

5-20-18 Trickle Research Issues Update Report
Alvopetro Energy, Ltd., TSXV (ALV.V) OTC (ALVOF) 
12-24 Month Price Target $1.10

We have not provided many individual updates on Alvopetro since the initiating coverage (although we have provided some research notes to our subscribers). Succinctly, we generaly put out notes around the earnings releases, and since the Company is for all intents and purposes pre-revenue(aside from some limited well participation)the earnings updates are not particularly telling. That said, the Company did recently make an announcement that we think is important:

May 10, 2019CALGARY , May 10, 2019 /CNW/ -Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSX-V: ALV; OTCQX: ALVOF) announces that INEMA, the Bahia State environmental regulator, has issued the environmental installation permits required to commence the construction of our strategic midstream infrastructure (100% Alvopetro) underpinning the commercialization of our Caburé natural gas field (49.1% Alvopetro). This midstream infrastructure includes an 11-kilometre transfer pipeline and the construction of a gas treatment facility (the "Facility"). All pipe for the transfer pipeline has already been shipped to the field staging area and our contractor is ready to commence field installation. Our Facility is being constructed by Enerflex Ltd. whereby they will construct, own and operate the Facility. Enerflex is responsible for all operations and maintenance of the Facility and is warrantying the delivery schedule and on-stream performance of the Facility. Initial equipment for the Facility has been assembled, tested, and is ready for shipment to Brazil. Alvopetro expects to start natural gas deliveries from the Caburé field in early 2020. Our natural gas is being sold under our long-term gas sales agreement with Bahiagas, the local distribution company for the state of Bahia. Corey Ruttan , President & CEO, stated "This is a very important development for Alvopetro, and the state of Bahia. These highly strategic midstream assets provide the platform to unlock the natural gas potential in Alvopetro's assets and more broadly in the Recôncavo Basin. This is a transformational time for Alvopetro as we move toward commercial production and cash flow. Our Caburé project, alone, has the ability to generate attractive returns for our shareholders while also providing the free cash flow to reinvest in our portfolio of high impact upstream opportunities."

Clcik Here>>

Donald Capital, LLC, A New Investment Bank Opens Its Doors

NEW YORK, May 16, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) – Donald Capital, LLC has launched today as a FINRA member Investment Bank. Founded with the intent to build a legacy based upon the fundamentals of honesty and integrity.

Donald Capital will focus on a market that has not been properly served for some time – the Private, Micro, Small & Mid Cap Markets. 

Co-founders Alex Hamilton and Don McDonald have launched several initiatives over their extensive careers to serve this part of the market.  They are very familiar with the challenges facing companies in this market and have the unique perspective to provide solutions.

Read Complete Press Release

 

New Distribution Partner for SMM

In addition to our ongoing growth in distribution we have added a new very important distribution partner in Quote Media.

https://www.quotemedia.com/

They are the premier provider of quote and news services to the financial Industry in North America. They current have some 675 subscribers and publishers of their quote and news feeds including major stock exchanges like NASDAQ and the Toronto Stock Exchange and an extensive list of portfolio managers both in North America and abroad.

All Research updates, releases and news articles will automatically be uploaded from SMM to Quote Media through our RSS feed and will be then ticker tagged and distributed across the Quote Media network in real Time.

This will begin next week and is provided by SMM at no additional charge.

If you have any questions, please feel free to email or give me a call.

SMM Coverage-Special Situations

 

Elio Motors, Inc. (ELIO) $2.06 4-18-19

 

Nothing new- see report from last month.
 

SHORT- Elio Motors, Inc. –ELIO Nov-2016  $11.80  Dec 17-18 price $3.15 starting to slip slide away again. (nice chance to add to short if you can get a borrow on ELIO).  Last news was almost 5 months ago from company. Still on perpetual begathon for new reservations. Still needs $300 million plus another $545,000 to cover this fine, but reality is that this car cannot be built for the price he talks about.

Nothing new and no news now for 6 months- That’s NOT good news

Posted by u/snugglesdog

Elio fined $545,000

The Louisiana appeals court did not rule in favor for Elio. So the original fine stands at $545,000. Plus they have 60 days to prove that the non refundable reservations are in escrow, if not they get fined for that.

Court Document: https://law.justia.com/cases/louisiana/fifth-circuit-court-of-appeal/2019/18-ca-545.html

Beginning of the end… Hope Paul saved up some bail money, that’s coming next in this 3 wheel ponzi scheme…

 

 

June-19 MODEL PORTFOLIO FOR TRICKLE RESEARCH, LLC.:

 

 

Initiation

 

Price

Initiation

Price @

 

Stock

Symbol

Date

Allocation

Target

Cost Px.

6/14/2019

 

SRAX (Social Reality)

SRAX

Multiple

5

$9.25

$1.79

$4.22

 

Pure Cycle

PCYO

5/5/17

3

$12.00

$7.60

$9.96

 

Command Center

CCNI

9/8/17

5

$8.75

$4.44

$5.46

 

Endurance Exploration

EXPL

11/6/17

3

$0.29

$0.18

$0.12

 

Assure Holdings Corp.

ARHH

11/10/17

4

$6.00

$2.90

$1.33

 

AzurRx BioPharma

AZRZ

2/7/18

6

$10.25

$2.96

$1.67

 

Camino Minerals, Corp

CAMZF

4/6/18

4

$0.90

$0.26

$0.12

 

PetroShare Corp

PRHR

5/31/18

5

$2.65

$1.44

$0.25

 

Gold Resource Corp

GORO

7/30/18

5

$7.35

$6.49

$3.25

 

Summit Wirelss

WISA

9/28/18

4

$9.25

$4.30

$1.30

 

Alvoperto Energy, Ltd.

ALVOF

11/7/18

4

$1.10

$0.39

$0.53

 

SG Blocks

SGBX

2/28/19

4

$6.25

$2.84

$0.86

 

H-Source Holdings

HSCHF

4/9/19

4

$0.19

$.06

$0.04

 

 

 

Initiation

 Termination 

 

Price

Initiation

Termination

Terminated Coverage

Symbol

Date

Date

Allocation

Target

Price

Price

ID Watchdog

IDW

10/13/16

8/28/2017

4

$0.42

$0.14

$0.40

GrowGeneration

GRWG

6/20/17

12/21/17

4

$3.40

$2.00

       $3.44  

Barfresh Food Group

BRFH

 

8/20/18

1

 

$0.55

$0.53

Semler Scientific

SMLR

12/27/17

11/7/18

    4

$15.00

$8.00

$31.99

New Jersey Mining

NJMC

4-18

5/16/19

           3

$0.30

$0.12

$1.31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

For complete details and assumptions please see the assumptions and explanations document Click Here

For a review and details on 2017 performance and model portfolio assumptions  Click Here

*Please note Dave Lavigne in the principal in Trickle Research and is also the editor of the Black Swan Connection Newsletter and an ongoing contributor to SMM.

 

June 18-19

COMPANY QUOTES, LISTINGS RESEARCH AND NEWS

Company

   

Premium

Research

News

(listing, quotes, news, research)

 

Profile

Updates

Updates

Alvopetro Energy, Ltd. (ALVOF)

 

Profile

  06/20/19

News

Antibe Therapeutics, Inc (ATBPF)

 

 Profile

11/11/18

News

AzuerRx Biopharma, Inc. (AZRX)

 

02/26/19

News

Camino Minerals Corp. (CAMZF)

 

04/06/18

News

Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)

 

Profile

 

News

Clean Coal Technologies, Inc (CCTC)

Profile

 

News

Command Center , Inc. (CCNI)

   

11/13/18

News

Endurance Exploration Group, Ltd (EXPL)

 

 Profile

  03-26/19

News

FULLSHARE HOLDINGS LTD. (607) HK

 

09/07/18

News

Guangdong Land Holdings Limited (124) HK

06-06/19

News

H-Source Holdings, Ltd (HSCHF)

04/09/19         

News

Petroshare Corp. (PRHR)

 

08/23/18

 

Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc.

   

  06/04/19

News

Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX)

   

02/05/19

News

 

Go to ValuEngine.com

    
 

June 16th, 2018  by Paul Henneman

 

ValuEngine Market Valuation update for the week of June 7, 2019. Stock pick of the week is ticker DATA (Tableau Software). Utilities and Computers/Technology most overvalued sectors. Read on for updated numbers. www.ValuEngine.com to log in, or free two-week full trial. Over 5,000 stocks, 16 sector groups, 140 plus industries covered every day. Subscribers log in HERE … Read more

 

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 34.74% of our stocks assigned a

valuation and 13.29% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.

Read Full Report

 

SMM Research Subscription Service.
Black Swan Research

Subscribers will get Real Time notification as Research Reports and updates are available as well as latest press releases and news on the companies covered.

Black Swan Research coverage is a compilation of some of the best independent providers of Micro Cap Research.  The service focuses on micro-cap companies that are typically not followed by Wall Street analysts.  In addition our subscription research service includes ValuEngine research on over 5,000 stocks with stock valuations, Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations, and forecasted target prices.

 Click Here for Complete Description

See Below for current coverage and info regarding our Research providers

Trickle Research Click Here for More info>>

*Research on the following companies is available to BS Research or Trickle research subscribers only

  • Pure Cycle (PCYO)  -
  • Semler Scientific, Inc. (SMLR)

Greenridge Global, LLC Click Here for More Info>>

Consilium Global Research Click Here for More Info>>

Falcon Strategic Research Click Here for More Info>>

ValuEngine Click Here for More Info >>

ValuEngine.com (VE) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available.

To Subscribe Please click Here
 

 

Reg A or D 506(c)

If you have a Reg A or 506(c) offering you would like us to distribute to our database, please give us a ring or email to:
727-823-3987
cdilley@smm.global


Event Calendar Updates

Summer doldrums- Nothing coming up immediately

NIBA will typically have a fall conference- keep track here

https://nibanet.org/


Carl Dilley
cdilley@smm.global

 

Visit our homepage for up to the minute Financial News, Quotes and our Latest Black Swan Connection Newsletter

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We have also cleansed our email database of subscribers who haven’t opened for some time and or have errors or other delivery issues with their email.

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