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Black Swan Connection March 2019

Posted By Administration, Thursday, March 21, 2019

March 2019


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Our goal with the Black Swan Connection is to provide our subscribers, investors and financial professional compatriots outstanding investment insight that is a step above and outside of what will normally be found in mainstream financial press. To that end we have brought together seasoned, successful, and some of the brightest professionals in their respective fields to provide the articles and advice that is based on decades of practice in the field.

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Breaking News

Market Watch - March 18-19

Mark Cuban comes to the defense of Elon Musk and his ‘ongoing public belligerence’

Elon Musk’s “ongoing public belligerence” toward the Securities and Exchange Commission could not only weigh on the stock but also ultimately result in his removal as the boss at Tesla, JPMorgan Chase said in a note on Monday.

“The option market is embedding no volatility premium for upcoming legal events in the case of SEC v. Elon Musk,” the strategists wrote in the note. “Surprising given these fears previously caused a significant decline in Tesla TSLA, +0.26%  shares and a surge in volatility to multiyear highs.”

Fellow billionaire Mark Cuban, who had his own run-in with the SEC years ago, stepped up to defend Musk on Twitter TWTR, +0.34%  in recent days.

Read Complete Article

The thing is, if @SEC_Enforcement really cared about reducing fraud they would publish bright-line guidelines that any business person could find and understand. Then there would be no excuses. Fraud would be fraud. Instead they create regulations via litigation.

— Mark Cuban (@mcuban) March 15, 2019


This is a topic we have covered for some years. Think that Trump etc are really Draining the Swamp ?

Not so much. Like many other government institutions that have become an empire unto themselves the SEC and others wipe their backside with congressional acts, like the Jobs Act that was heralded as a way to create jobs and inspire capital formation for small business.  We plod on while the US become a second class citizen in the world of global finance.

Following was from my article in Jan-2017

From the get go the key SEC regulations are the 33 and 34 ACT’s. For you kids that means they were created in yes, 1933 and 1934.  Instituted to curtail what was then a free for all in the securities industry run by a few people who controlled all of the information. Wild speculation led to the 1929 Market crash and exacerbated a profound depression. President Roosevelt created the Securities and Exchange Commission and the 33 and 34 Act which require securities offerings to be registered and provide a structure for offerings to truthfully disclose information to investors.

From Wikipedia:

The primary purpose of the '33 Act is to ensure that buyers of securities receive complete and accurate information before they invest in securities. Unlike state blue sky laws, which impose merit reviews, the '33 Act embraces a disclosure philosophy, meaning that in theory, it is not illegal to sell a bad investment, as long as all the facts are accurately disclosed.

Sounds good in theory so what’s the problem???

First of all those acts were written 84 years ago and a lot has changed, including an amazing ability to get instant information about everything.  Instead of a new ACT that reflects changes and modern sophistication in the marketplace etc these acts have been amended and interpreted a gazillion times to the point that no one including the SEC itself can tell you what these rules mean and when they are being violated.

A good start down this rat hole is the first chapter about securities registration right from Wikipedia

Legislated pursuant to the interstate commerce clause of the Constitution, it requires that any offer or sale of securities using the means and instrumentalities of interstate commerce be registered with the SEC pursuant to the 1933 Act, unless an exemption from registration exists under the law. "Means and instrumentalities of interstate commerce" is extremely broad, and it is virtually impossible to avoid the operation of this statute by attempting to offer or sell a security without using an "instrumentality" of interstate commerce. Any use of a telephone, for example, or the mails, would probably be enough to subject the transaction to the statute.

Anybody want to tell me exactly what that means, starting with a concise explanation even of what constitutes a security????????



Feature Article

March 2019

Blue Chip or Blue Sky…Part III

By: Dave Lavigne

I am a microcap analyst, which essentially makes me a stock picker. However, I also have a bend toward trying to understand macroeconomic issues and trends, with the notion that those trends often play a big role in the pricing of assets in terms of sectors (gold miners vis-à-vis gold prices) but overall as well (the rising tide raises all boats).  Macro issues involving liquidity are especially topical to me, because the equity markets, and perhaps more specifically the microcap equity markets are particularly sensitive to liquidity (or a lack thereof).  In my view, when it comes to asset pricing, all roads lead to (and from) liquidity, so it may be the mother of all macro issues. To that end, in this column one year and two years ago, I provided some cautionary language regarding the central banks and liquidity as well as some equity metrics that I think are worth revisiting.  

Just to recap a bit, the title of my letter one year ago was   Blue Chip or Blue Sky…Redux?   I started this exercise in February of 2017 with a column called Blue Chip… or Blue Sky, thus the “Redux” portion of the follow up article.  Obviously, this is the third annual installment of this analysis. 

Click Here for complete Article


3-11-19 Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)

Canbiola is Registered and Active in the GSA’s System for Award Management (SAM) and Department of Defense (DOD)

HICKSVILLE, NY, March 11, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- via NEWMEDIAWIRE -- Canbiola, Inc. (OTCQB: CANB) (“Canbiola” or the “Company”), a developer, manufacturer and seller of a variety of Cannabidiol (Hemp) based products such as oils, creams, moisturizers, chews, isolate, gel caps, and concentrate, announced today that it is now registered and active in the U.S. government GSA’s System for Award Management (SAM) and Department of Defense (DOD).

The System for Award Management (SAM) is an official website of the U.S. government. There is no cost to use SAM. GSA’s Office of Government-wide Policy is consolidating federal procurement and award systems into 1 new system—the System for Award Management (SAM). SAM is streamlining processes, improving data quality by eliminating the need to enter the same data multiple times, and consolidating hosting to save taxpayer money.

Click Here for Report


2-26-19 Trickle Research issues update of AzurRx Biopharma, Inc. (AZRX) 12-24 Month Price Target $10.25

2Today, Oppenheimer and Co. Upgraded their price target for AzurRx shares from $6 to $8. Much of the upgrade was based on two things; first, the enrolling/initiation of the cystic fibrosis trial(we have discussed that in prior research), and some telling channel checking they did amongst physicians to determine their likelihood to prescribeMS1819to their patients in the event of an approval. Obviously, given their price target bump, that polling resulted in favorable enough responses that apparently lead Oppenheimer to conclude that the drug could achieve penetration than they originally projected(they estimate 25% of the market(currently $1.2B)by 2029).

Click Here for Report


2-9-19 Trickle Research Issues Earnings Update Social Reality Inc. (SRAX)
12-24 Month Target Price $9.25

Last week SRAX announced a new vertical called SRAXIR.


We're excited to announce SRAX has launched its new investor relations vertical offering, SRAX IR.

"SRAX IR is an exciting new vertical designed to assist publicly traded companies with understanding their shareholder base behavior," said Christopher Miglino, CEO and Chairman of SRAX. "Understanding who is buying and selling a company's stock and having the ability to communicate with those investors is an essential tool for every publicly traded company."


We have to admit, we didn’t see this coming but we think it is intriguing. Moreover, as a vertical aimed at investors and investor relations, we certainly have some insights about this particular new business. As we understand it, SRAX IR has two parts, the first of which is functional today, and the second which should be functional shortly. The first portion of the service provides public company’s a means to identify and keep track of their shareholder base. The approach involves gathering what are known in the industry as “NOBO”lists. NOBO stands for “non-objecting beneficial owners”, and the lists consist of shareholders who hold their shares with a broker (in “street name”) and are willing to allow the broker to share their names and addresses with those issuing companies so that they can communicate company developments with those same shareholders.


Click Here for Report


1-28-19 Clean Coal Technologies ( CCTC)   Wall Street Reporter

Clean Coal Technologies (OTC: CCTC) “Game Changer” technology for the $50 billion coal market?
Clean Coal Technologies (OTC: CCTC) Interview with CEO Robin Eves, and COO Aiden Neary discussing progress in commercializing the company’s “game changer” disruptive technology for the global coal market (estimated at $50 billion).

The management team explains how CCTC’s technology enables coal miners and users to “upgrade” the quality and utility of their coal, essentially being able to produce better coal for half the market price. In addition, they explain how the 2nd generation of CCTC’s technology enables the production of valuable by-products from coal, including rare earth minerals, which further increases the value proposition. 

Additional topics discussed include: updates on progress for licensing deals in India, Indonesia, and the US, and objectives for 2019.

Click Here for complete Interview and Article

1-25-19 Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)
CannabisNewsBreaks – Canbiola, Inc. (CANB) Launches New Wholly Owned Subsidiary

Canbiola (OTCQB: CANB) today announced the expansion of its product offering in the medical and wellness segments of the CBD industry through the formation and launch of a new wholly owned subsidiary, DuraMed, Inc. DuraMed is a medical device company that provides FDA approved, non-invasive, consumer-friendly equipment and services to medical offices and consumers. DuraMed products focus on supporting faster injury recovery and pain relief. Per the update, Pure Health Products, Inc., the company’s laboratory and production facility in Lacey WA, will supply DuraMed with its initial consumer products. In addition, Pure Health and Canbiola have secured an agreement with Hudilab, Inc. to acquire the necessary technology and intellectual property (“IP”) to produce transdermal pads for use with medical devices such as Transcutaneous Electrical Nerve Stimulation (“TENS”) units. The acquired technology enables infusion of effective dosages of CBD with the TENS pads. “We believe market conditions are optimal for a CBD delivery system to be combined with the popularity of the TENS units. These CBD infused pads are a technology breakthrough. There are hundreds of thousands of TENS units from scores of manufacturers in use today and the ability to provide the pads with CBD is huge,” Canbiola CEO Marco Alfonsi stated in the news release. “The Pure Health facility is geared up for major production and expects its first of many orders shortly.”

To view the full press release: Click Here


New Distribution Partner for SMM

In addition to our ongoing growth in distribution we have added a new very important distribution partner in Quote Media.

They are the premier provider of quote and news services to the financial Industry in North America. They current have some 675 subscribers and publishers of their quote and news feeds including major stock exchanges like NASDAQ and the Toronto Stock Exchange and an extensive list of portfolio managers both in North America and abroad.

All Research updates, releases and news articles will automatically be uploaded from SMM to Quote Media through our RSS feed and will be then ticker tagged and distributed across the Quote Media network in real Time.

This will begin next week and is provided by SMM at no additional charge.

If you have any questions, please feel free to email or give me a call.

SMM Coverage-Special Situations


Elio Motors, Inc. (ELIO) $2.40 3-19-19


Nothing new- see report from last month.

SHORT- Elio Motors, Inc. –ELIO Nov-2016  $11.80  Dec 17-18 price $3.15 starting to slip slide away again. (nice chance to add to short if you can get a borrow on ELIO).  Last news was almost 3 months ago from company. Still on perpetual begathon for new reservations. Still needs $300 million plus, but reality is that this car cannot be built for the price he talks about.

Nothing new and no news now for 6 months- That’s NOT good news










Price @







Cost Px.



New Jersey Mining








SRAX (Social Reality)








Pure Cycle








Command Center








Endurance Exploration








Assure Holdings Corp.








AzurRx BioPharma








Camino Minerals, Corp








PetroShare Corp








Gold Resource Corp








Summit Wirelss








Alvoperto Energy, Ltd.








SG Blocks
















Terminated Coverage








ID Watchdog
















Barfresh Food Group








Semler Scientific

















For complete details and assumptions please see the assumptions and explanations document Click Here

For a review and details on 2017 performance and model portfolio assumptions  Click Here


*Please note Dave Lavigne in the principal in Trickle Research and is also the editor of the Black Swan Connection Newsletter and an ongoing contributor to SMM.




















(listing, quotes, news, research)





Aethlon Medical, Inc. (AEMD)




Alvopetro Energy, Ltd. (ALVOF)





Antibe Therapeutics, Inc (ATBPF)





AzuerRx Biopharma, Inc. (AZRX)




Camino Minerals Corp. (CAMZF)




Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)





Clean Coal Technologies, Inc (CCTC)




Command Center , Inc. (CCNI)




Endurance Exploration Group, Ltd (EXPL)









Galaxy Gaming, Inc. (GLXZ)




Guangdong Land Holdings Limited (124) HK



Magnegas, Inc. (MNGA)



MOBI724 Global Solutions, Inc. (MOBIF)



Petroshare Corp. (PRHR)




Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc.




Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX)










Go to



March 19, 2018  by Paul Henneman

Overall Market Valuation update for the week of March 15, 2019. Sector Valuations, strong buy stock pick for the week is ticker symbol MELI, with over 311% earnings per share growth. to log in, or two week full trial.

Click Here for Full Report


VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 40.33% of our stocks assigned a

valuation and 15.26% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.

Nine sectors are calculated to be overvalued.



SMM Research Subscription Service
Black Swan Research

Subscribers will get Real Time notification as Research Reports and updates are available as well as latest press releases and news on the companies covered.

Black Swan Research coverage is a compilation of some of the best independent providers of Micro Cap Research.  The service focuses on micro-cap companies that are typically not followed by Wall Street analysts.  In addition our subscription research service includes ValuEngine research on over 5,000 stocks with stock valuations, Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations, and forecasted target prices.

 Click Here for Complete Description

See Below for current coverage and info regarding our Research providers

Trickle Research Click Here for More info>>

*Research on the following companies is available to BS Research or Trickle research subscribers only

  • Pure Cycle (PCYO)  -
  • Semler Scientific, Inc. (SMLR)

Greenridge Global, LLC Click Here for More Info>>

Consilium Global Research Click Here for More Info>>

Falcon Strategic Research Click Here for More Info>>

Catalyst Research Management Group Click Here for more Info>>

ValuEngine Click Here for More Info >> (VE) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available.

To Subscribe Please click Here

Reg A or D 506(c)

If you have a Reg A or 506(c) offering you would like us to distribute to our database, please give us a ring or email to:

Event Calendar Updates

March 25-26
Crowne Plaza Time Square
New York City

The National Investment Banking Association (NIBA) is proud to host its 146th investment conference on March 25-26, 2019 at the Crowne Plaza Times Square in New York City.

Check it Out and Register


Rocky Mountain Microcap Conference IV
May 7, 2019
GVC Capital-Trickle Research

On May 7, 2019, we will be holding Rocky Mountain Microcap Conference IV.  The Conference will be held at Coors Field (home of the National League’s most exciting Major League Baseball team, the Colorado Rockies).  The agenda will be limited to just 13 public microcap companies.  The companies will present on a single track and each will be allotted a 25 minute presentation slot.  We hope to attract approximately 65-75 microcap investors, institutions and bankers who are close associates, clients and/or Trickle Research subscribers.  We believe we will once again assemble a group of highly relevant microcap centric attendees.  Following the conference, we will move to Coors Field’s suites for cocktails, food and baseball. Presenters will have a chance to meet and talk with attendees in a personal relaxed atmosphere, which will of course include watching our Colorado Rockies play ball! 

This is a format we typically use for our conferences as we have found it to be a good platform for presenting companies to connect with new investors on a more personal level and perhaps acquire some new long-term shareholders and meet individuals that may help them with additional financing needs in the future.

Please visit for more information

Please drop me a line if you’d like to attend or present your company
Carl Dilley


Visit our homepage for up to the minute Financial News, Quotes and our Latest Black Swan Connection Newsletter

Stock Market Manager Homepage

-SMM Distribution Update-

Distribution (Reach)

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SMM Global Facebook Page  (Reach last-30 days)               6,462

SMM Linkedin Page                 (contacts)                              472

SMM Youtube Channel            (followers)                                 6 

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Total                                                                           257,354

Note*  Our Instagram acct was recently hacked so we had to start over again.

We have also cleansed our email database of subscribers who haven’t opened for some time and or have errors or other delivery issues with their email.

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