Print Page   |   Sign In   |   Register
Blog Home All Blogs
Search all posts for:   


View all (131) posts »

Black Swan Connection January 2019

Posted By Administration, Thursday, January 17, 2019

January 2019


 6,462     1,414       472       131        6

Our goal with the Black Swan Connection is to provide our subscribers, investors and financial professional compatriots outstanding investment insight that is a step above and outside of what will normally be found in mainstream financial press. To that end we have brought together seasoned, successful, and some of the brightest professionals in their respective fields to provide the articles and advice that is based on decades of practice in the field.

CNN Business January 15-19

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon: Government shutdown is bad for the economy

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said the partial government shutdown, which has lasted 25 days, could seriously hurt the economy if it drags on.

“If it goes on for the whole quarter, it can reduce growth to zero,” he said today on a call with reporters just after the company reported fourth-quarter earnings.

A shutdown "is not going to help the economy," Dimon added. The closure cramps lending and could even hurt capital markets activity by preventing companies from going public.

"We don’t know exactly what it’s going to do, but it’s not a positive,” Dimon said.

JPMorgan (JPM) previously said it would help customers affected by the shutdown by waiving fees for customers who stop receiving direct deposits from the federal government into their accounts.


Feature Article

Carpe Diem (…or at Least the Dead Cat Bounce) 

By: Dave Lavigne, Trickle Research

January 2019

Last month I wrote about some of the stories I saw at the December LD Micro Conference, but I have to say in retrospect, I considered talking about tax selling pressure/opportunities that might unfold as we approached the end of the year. As it turned out, the period from our last letter to the end of the year was dramatically lower culminating in some opportune tax selling fire sales.  (The chart below is for the Russell 2000, but the other equity indices were equally as bad):











On the other hand, the bounce coming out of the year and into 2019 has been stark as well, which brings me back to my point about tax selling opportunities. That is, there were several small companies on our radar that (presumably) saw some indiscriminate tax selling and have subsequently made nice moves coming out of the carnage.

Read Complete Article

1-15-19 Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)
Senator Ronald A. Silver Joins Canbiola, Inc. Corporate Advisory Board

HICKSVILLE, NY, Jan. 15, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- via NEWMEDIAWIRE -- Canbiola, Inc. (OTCQB: CANB), is pleased to announce that Senator Ronald A. Silver has joined its Corporate Advisory Board.  The purpose of the Advisory Board is to assist and advise the Board of Directors and Executive team’s effort in growing Canbiola fiscally and in a socially responsible manner and the Company welcomes a man with extensive legislative and regulatory experience.

Read Complete Press Release


1-9-19 Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)
Canbiola, Inc. has Purchased Pure Health Products LLC and is Launching Pure Leaf Oil as its Consumer Brand
HICKSVILLE, NY, Jan. 08, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- via NEWMEDIAWIRE -- Canbiola, Inc. (OTCQB: CANB) has purchased Pure Health Products LLC and is launching Pure Leaf Oil as its consumer brand. 

Due to strong product demand, Canbiola is on the path toward significant revenue growth in additional segments of the CBD industry.  While the Canbiola brand is synonymous with Medical Offices and our Doctor affiliate program, the company has launched Pure Leaf Oil targeting retail markets including c-stores, bodegas, and yes, even donut stores and bakeries through its network of distributors. Pure Leaf Oil is also expected to be sold through various leading online e-commerce platforms at very aggressive prices.

Read Complete Press Release


Greenridge Global Equity Research
Issues Updates 1-10-19
Guangdong Land Holdings, Ltd.

Buxin Site Visit Recap & Pre-Sale Activity Underway

Site Visit & Pre-Sale Activity.  We visited the Buxin Project, now being marketed as GDH City, in late December and saw considerable progress since our last visit in April.  Construction on the NW Land is continuing on schedule, with the mall and two smaller buildings built to height and the two taller buildings nearly built to height.  The Company received approval to begin pre-sales on the NW Land in early December, and marked it with the soft opening of its Exhibition Center in mid-December.  The Exhibition Center was open during our visit and appeared to have a steady stream of potential buyers coming in.  The Company is expected to begin promoting the pre-sale of units in the NW Land section of GDH City after Chinese New Year, with average prices looking to be roughly as modelled.

Construction began on the Northern Land and Southern Land at the beginning of December.  The N Land and S Land will include the large mall discussed below and 300 meter landmark building, which will ultimately house the Company’s corporate offices, and a 180 meter office building, which will be sold and already has a name tenant.  The N Land also houses the exhibition center, which includes the current corporate offices. 

Additional Buxin Land Premium Payment.  On December 21, the Company announced it agreed to pay a land premium payment of RMB 470,010,000 (or roughly HK$ 534,527,000) to shift 12,000m2 of underground commercial area from the Southern Land to the Northern Land.  The increased GFA will see the underground commercial area of the N Land increased from 9,000m2 to 21,000m2, which will be comprised of 12,158m2 of commercial units and 8,842m2 of non-commercial units for self-use.  The change allows the Company to build a large one-floor underground mall in the N Land that connects to the S Land portion, rather than building several underground floors in the N Land that are disconnected to the S Land.  This should reduce the construction cost while increasing the value of the space by making it more attractive to consumers and increasing the connectivity of the buildings.  Additionally, the Company will be able to sell the commercial units, whereas it was unable to previously.  The underground commercial area of the S Land has been reduced from 21,000m2 to 9,000m2.  Management does not expect this will have any change on the timeline to completion. 

Maintaining Rating & Target.  With pre-sales starting and construction on schedule at both phases of the Buxin Project, and sales underway at its new Guangzhou acquisitions, Guangdong Land looks to be undervalued by the market at current prices.  As such, we are reiterating our Buy rating ad HK$4.75 target price on Guangdong Land.  Our target price is based on our DCF model that covers GDL’s entire project portfolio.

Read Complete Report

1-4-19 Endurance Exploration Group, Inc. (EXPL)
Endurance Exploration Group, Inc. Files Form 15 to Terminate SEC Reporting Obligations

CLEARWATER, FL / ACCESSWIRE / January 4, 2019 / Endurance Exploration Group, Inc. (OTCQB: EXPL) (the "Company"), a company that specializes in historic shipwreck research, subsea survey and recovery of lost ships containing valuable cargoes, today announced that on January 3, 2019 it voluntarily filed a Form 15 with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the "Commission" or "SEC") to voluntarily deregister its common stock and suspend its reporting obligations under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"). The Company cited the significant cost, limited benefit and very limited trading of its stock as some of its reasons in taking this step. As a result of the filing of Form 15 with the Commission, the Company will no longer be required to file certain reports under the Exchange Act, including quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, annual reports on Form 10-K, and current reports on Form 8-K. Other filing requirements will terminate upon the effectiveness of the deregistration, which is expected to occur 90 days after the filing of the Form 15 with the Commission.

Upon suspension of its reporting obligations, the Company expects its common stock to continue trading on the OTC Pink marketplace, however, there can be no assurance that any broker-dealer will make, or continue to make, a market in the Company's common stock.
Click Here


Echelon Wealth Partners
Research Update 11-11-18
Antibe Therapeutics (TSXV-ATE)
Speculative Buy Target Price $1.40

Event: Ontario-based drug developer Antibe Therapeutics reported FQ219 financial data for the Sept-end quarter that met our expectations on most income statement metrics and on development timelines for flagship hydrogen sulfide-releasing naproxen analog ATB-346, as we will describe below. Bottom line:We are maintaining our Speculative BUY rating and $1.40 PT on ATE, with our valuation still based on NPV (40% discount rate) and multiples of our F2025 adjusted EBITDA/EPS forecasts ($165.6M/$0.41, respectively), with both profitability metrics driven by our expectations that ATB-346 can perform well in future Phase III knee osteoarthritis pain studies and that pending performance in the soon-to-commence 200-250-patient Phase II knee osteoarthritis will be sufficiently positive on key efficacy measures (WOMAC-based pain relief with simultaneous reduction in incidence/severity of gastroduodenal ulcers) to justify advancing into future pivotal studies and to support FDA approval/launch and “partnerability”. At current levels, our PT corresponds to a one-year return of 418%.

Read Complete Report

*Echelon is a leading independent, Canadian-owned and operated wealth management and capital markets firm. While SMM has no relationship with Echelon and is not being compensated for distribution of these research reports, Owners of SMM are significant shareholders in Antibe Holding which in turn has a significant interest in Antibe Therapeutics, Inc.

Trickle Research
Earnings Update 12-3-18
Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc. (WISA)
12-24 Month Target Price $9.25

There is not a great deal to update here since we just initiated the coverage near the end of this reporting period. As we noted in the initial coverage, we are not expecting much from the numbers for the second half, which of curse includes this reporting period and the one we are currently in. For what it is worth, the numbers were largely in lie. SG&A was a bit higher than we anticipated, but given the IPO in the quarter, as well as several other restructuring items (debt conversions etc.), we suspect that line item was particularly extraordinary.


New Distribution Partner for SMM

In addition to our ongoing growth in distribution we have added a new very important distribution partner in Quote Media.

They are the premier provider of quote and news services to the financial Industry in North America. They current have some 675 subscribers and publishers of their quote and news feeds including major stock exchanges like NASDAQ and the Toronto Stock Exchange and an extensive list of portfolio managers both in North America and abroad.

All Research updates, releases and news articles will automatically be uploaded from SMM to Quote Media through our RSS feed and will be then ticker tagged and distributed across the Quote Media network in real Time.

This will begin next week and is provided by SMM at no additional charge.

If you have any questions, please feel free to email or give me a call.


SMM Coverage-Special Situations

Tesla $347.50  – 1-15-19

SMM Original Recommendation

SELL Tesla, Inc. –TSLA Sept-2017   $376.00

If you’ve been following along you took some nice profits off the table, and if you’re not risk averse there is probably going to be more opportunities and we’ll see a lot of volatility. Anywhere here is probably a good short position and cover when it gets hit for $40 or $50 on the downside.

I am officially terminating coverage on this unless something meaningful happens in the future


Elio Motors, Inc. (ELIO) $2.75 1-15-19

Nothing new- see report from last month. Stock is at $2.75 1-15-19

SHORT- Elio Motors, Inc. –ELIO Nov-2016  $11.80  Dec 17-18 price $3.15 starting to slip slide away again. (nice chance to add to short if you can get a borrow on ELIO).  Last news was almost 3 months ago from company. Still on perpetual begathon for new reservations. Here is a recent interview and he talks about the nonsensical cryptocurrency offering and blames capital markets. Reality is that the smart Investment banking firms aren’t buying his BS. Still needs $300 million plus, but reality is that this car cannot be built for the price he talks about.

Recent Radio Interview

Listen Here


Toyota and Acrimoto are now building very cool competitive 3 wheel vehicles. At the recent LD Micro Conference I had a chance to check out the Acrimoto and talk to company execs.

Looks pretty cool, is electric, and oh by the way cost will be way North of where the Elio is, why???? Because that is reality not ELIO nonsense.

Check it out here        

I  road  

This is never going to happen stay short ELIO or add to it if you can.

SELL Tesla, Inc. –TSLA Sept-2017   $376.00 Dec 17-18  price $338.40 * see note above terminating coverage









Price @







Cost Px.



New Jersey Mining








SRAX (Social Reality)








Pure Cycle








Command Center








Endurance Exploration








Assure Holdings Corp.








AzurRx BioPharma








Camino Minerals, Corp








PetroShare Corp








Gold Resource Corp








Summit Wirelss








Alvoperto Energy, Ltd.
















Terminated Coverage








ID Watchdog
















Barfresh Food Group








Semler Scientific

















For complete details and assumptions please see the assumptions and explanations document Click Here

For a review and details on 2017 performance and model portfolio assumptions  Click Here

*Please note Dave Lavigne in the principal in Trickle Research and is also the editor of the Black Swan Connection Newsletter and an ongoing contributor to SMM.






Published by:
Stock Market Manager
All rights reserved

David Lavigne

Carl Dilley

SMM Distribution Update

Distribution (Reach)

SMM Global Twitter Acct     (Impressions last 30 days)    1,414

SMM Global Facebook Page  (Reach last-30 days)            6,462
SMM Linkedin Page                (contacts)                         472

SMM Youtube Channel            (followers)                           6

SMM Instagram                      (followers)                        131      

Direct Email                                                              345,000

 Total                                                                       353,485


January 15-2019









(listing, quotes, news, research)







Aethlon Medical, Inc. (AEMD)





Alvopetro Energy, Ltd. (ALVOF)





Assure Holdings, Inc. (ARHH)





Antibe Therapeutics, Inc (ATBPF)





AzuerRx Biopharma, Inc. (AZRX)




Camino Minerals Corp. (CAMZF)




Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)




News, Inc. (CIIX)




Clean Coal Technologies, Inc (CCTC)




Command Center , Inc. (CCNI)





Endurance Exploration Group, Ltd (EXPL)





Ecom Products Group (EPGC)









Galaxy Gaming, Inc. (GLXZ)





Guangdong Land Holdings Limited (124) HK



Magnegas, Inc. (MNGA)





MOBI724 Global Solutions, Inc. (MOBIF)




New Jersey Mining Company (NJMC)




Petroshare Corp. (PRHR)





Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc.





Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX)





Zynex, Inc. (ZYXI)






Go to


Dec 17, 2018 by Steve Hach

This week, we provide top-five ranked VE data for our Retail/Wholesale Sector stocks, we also take a look at Amazon $AMZN and provide a free download link for our stock report on the company. 

Click Here for Full Report


VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 26.39% of our stocks assigned a

valuation and 9.96% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.

Nine sectors are calculated to be overvalued.



SMM Research Subscription Service.
Black Swan Research

Subscribers will get Real Time notification as Research Reports and updates are available as well as latest press releases and news on the companies covered.

Black Swan Research coverage is a compilation of some of the best independent providers of Micro Cap Research.  The service focuses on micro-cap companies that are typically not followed by Wall Street analysts.  In addition our subscription research service includes ValuEngine research on over 5,000 stocks with stock valuations, Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations, and forecasted target prices.

 Click Here for Complete Description


See Below for current coverage and info regarding our Research providers

Trickle Research Click Here for More info>>

*Research on the following companies is available to BS Research or Trickle research subscribers only

  • Pure Cycle (PCYO)  -
  • Semler Scientific, Inc. (SMLR)

Greenridge Global, LLC Click Here for More Info>>

Consilium Global Research Click Here for More Info>>

Falcon Strategic Research Click Here for More Info>>

Catalyst Research Management Group Click Here for more Info>>

ValuEngine Click Here for More Info >> (VE) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available.

To Subscribe Please click Here

Reg A or D 506(c)

If you have a Reg A or 506(c) offering you would like us to distribute to our database, please give us a ring or email to:


Event Calendar Updates

March 25-26
Crowne Plaza Time Square
New York City

The National Investment Banking Association (NIBA) is proud to host its 146th investment conference on March 25-26, 2019 at the Crowne Plaza Times Square in New York City.

Check it Out and Register


January 27-29
W Hotel Ft. Lauderdale

Seven Panels At NobleConXV

Join key opinion leaders, experts, executives and investors for stimulating dialogue on topics that impact our lives. Novel therapies at the cutting edge of cancer research. Treatment advancements in Macular degeneration. The quest for a cure of Alzheimer’s. Global trade and the impact on the transportation industry. Understanding Diabetes and the differences between Type I and II. The future for precious metals exploration. And Cannabis. Is it all smoke and mirrors or is there money to be made.

Alzheimer's, Oncology, Natural Resources - Monday 28th 5:30p
Diabetes, Ophthalmology, Transportation - Tuesday 29th 8:30a
Cannabis - Tuesday 29th 3:00p | W Fort Lauderdale

FREE INVESTOR REGISTRATIONin celebration of our 15th NobleCon, 35 years of Noble!

Registration Information   |  Request Presenting Company List   |  NobleConXV Website


Visit our homepage for up to the minute Financial News, Quotes and our Latest Black Swan Connection Newsletter

Stock Market Manager Homepage


-SMM Distribution Update-

Distribution (Reach)

SMM Global Twitter Acct     (Impressions last 30 days)       1,414

SMM Global Facebook Page  (Reach last-30 days)               6,462

SMM Linkedin Page                 (contacts)                              472

SMM Youtube Channel            (followers)                                 6

SMM Instagram                      (followers)                             131         

Direct Email                                                                 345,000

Total                                                                             353,485


Disclosure and Compensation


This post has not been tagged.

Share |
Permalink | Comments (0)
Community Search
Sign In