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Black Swan Connection December 2018

Posted By Administration, Wednesday, December 19, 2018

December 2018

                

 6,462     1,414       472       131        6


Our goal with the Black Swan Connection is to provide our subscribers, investors and financial professional compatriots outstanding investment insight that is a step above and outside of what will normally be found in mainstream financial press. To that end we have brought together seasoned, successful, and some of the brightest professionals in their respective fields to provide the articles and advice that is based on decades of practice in the field.

 

All the best of the Holiday Season and may the blessings of a prosperous New Year be yours.

 

Feature Article

Things I Saw on My Trip to L.A.

By: Dave Lavigne, Trickle Research

December 2018

A few months ago, I provided some information regarding some upcoming microcap conferences that I thought were worth attending. The largest of those I referenced, my friend Chris Lahiji’s “LD Micro Conference”, was held in Los Angeles last week.  For those who have never attended, LD Micro features approximately 240 companies presenting on 5 tracks over three days. It can be a bit overwhelming.  To put that into perspective, I saw 50 presentations during my attendance.  That is tough duty for someone with a short attention span.  I thought there were some interesting presentations, so I will touch on a handful of those, and there were also some “macro” themes that I thought were interesting.  I will start with the macro piece.
Read Complete Article

Breaking News

Echelon Wealth Partners
Research Update 11-11-18
Antibe Therapeutics (TSXV-ATE)
Speculative Buy Target Price $1.40

Event: Ontario-based drug developer Antibe Therapeutics reported FQ219 financial data for the Sept-end quarter that met our expectations on most income statement metrics and on development timelines for flagship hydrogen sulfide-releasing naproxen analog ATB-346, as we will describe below. Bottom line:We are maintaining our Speculative BUY rating and $1.40 PT on ATE, with our valuation still based on NPV (40% discount rate) and multiples of our F2025 adjusted EBITDA/EPS forecasts ($165.6M/$0.41, respectively), with both profitability metrics driven by our expectations that ATB-346 can perform well in future Phase III knee osteoarthritis pain studies and that pending performance in the soon-to-commence 200-250-patient Phase II knee osteoarthritis will be sufficiently positive on key efficacy measures (WOMAC-based pain relief with simultaneous reduction in incidence/severity of gastroduodenal ulcers) to justify advancing into future pivotal studies and to support FDA approval/launch and “partnerability”. At current levels, our PT corresponds to a one-year return of 418%.
Read Complete Report

*Echelon is a leading independent, Canadian-owned and operated wealth management and capital markets firm. While SMM has no relationship with Echelon and is not being compensated for distribution of these research reports, Owners of SMM are significant shareholders in Antibe Holding which in turn has a significant interest in Antibe Therapeutics, Inc.

Trickle Research
Earnings Update 12-3-18
Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc. (WISA)
12-24 Month Target Price $9.25

There is not a great deal to update here since we just initiated the coverage near the end of this reporting period. As we noted in the initial coverage, we are not expecting much from the numbers for the second half, which of curse includes this reporting period and the one we are currently in. For what it is worth, the numbers were largely in lie. SG&A was a bit higher than we anticipated, but given the IPO in the quarter, as well as several other restructuring items (debt conversions etc.), we suspect that line item was particularly extraordinary.
Click Here for Report

Trickle Research Earnings Update 11-28-18
Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX)
12-24 Month Target Price $8.50

SRAX reported their 3QF18 results the other day, but with the holiday stuck between here and there, we are just catching up. Frankly there were no surprises of note. Recall, in some of our prior writings, we noted that the SRAXmd sale would “muddy” the Q3 numbers with extraordinary items. As it turned out, the numbers included about 37 days of SRAXmd contributions, which added to the extraordinariness. O
Click Here for Report
 

Trickle Research Earnings Update 11-13-18
Command Center, Inc. (CCNI)
12-24 Month Target Price $8.75

We have been covering CCNI for some time now, and we must admit, we seem to have a hard time nailing down the numbers one quarter to the next. After last quarter, we noted that we were “paring back some of our estimates just to try to get them more in line with the results over the past few quarters where revenue comps have been flat”. However, as it turned out, they reported revenues of $26.3 million which was just over $760,000 or about 3% higher than our revised estimate. The $26.3 million was about ½ way between the Q1 estimate we revised down, and the new number we revised down to.
Click Here for Report

 

New Distribution Partner for SMM

In addition to our ongoing growth in distribution we have added a new very important distribution partner in Quote Media.

https://www.quotemedia.com/

They are the premier provider of quote and news services to the financial Industry in North America. They current have some 675 subscribers and publishers of their quote and news feeds including major stock exchanges like NASDAQ and the Toronto Stock Exchange and an extensive list of portfolio managers both in North America and abroad.

All Research updates, releases and news articles will automatically be uploaded from SMM to Quote Media through our RSS feed and will be then ticker tagged and distributed across the Quote Media network in real Time.

This will begin next week and is provided by SMM at no additional charge.

If you have any questions, please feel free to email or give me a call.

 

Tesla $338.40  – 12-17-18

SMM Original Recommendation

SELL Tesla, Inc. –TSLA Sept-2017   $376.00

If you’ve been following along you took some nice profits off the table, and if you’re not risk averse there is probably going to be more opportunities and we’ll see a lot of volatility. Anywhere here is probably a good short position and cover when it gets hit for $40 or $50 on the downside.

 

From John Engle  Gurfocus.com

Tesla (TSLA) stirs up strong passions in both bulls and bears. Indeed, there may be no company so loved -- and hated -- by investors. That has made Wall Street analysts' jobs especially difficult, since their price targets and forecasts face scrutiny rarely seen in other stocks.

Two venerable investment banks, Morgan Stanley (MS) and Goldman Sachs (GS), released new analyst commentaries on Tesla on Tuesday, Dec. 18. Both banks have long-standing relationships with Tesla and its CEO, Elon Musk, but their respective equity research arms have long been at odds when it comes to the electric vehicle company. Morgan Stanley has become known as a very bullish outfit, while Goldman has proven to be a persistent bear. But things may be changing, with opinion at these banks apparently starting to converge. Looking toward 2019, both banks see trouble in store for Tesla.

Read Complete Article

 

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS FROM SMM

Special Situations -Recommended by C. Dilley (SMM)
 

SHORT- Elio Motors, Inc. –ELIO Nov-2016  $11.80  Dec 17-18 price $3.15 starting to slip slide away again. (nice chance to add to short if you can get a borrow on ELIO).  Last news was almost 3 months ago from company. Still on perpetual begathon for new reservations. Here is a recent interview and he talks about the nonsensical cryptocurrency offering and blames capital markets. Reality is that the smart Investment banking firms aren’t buying his BS. Still needs $300 million plus, but reality is that this car cannot be built for the price he talks about.

Recent Radio Interview

Listen Here

 

Toyota and Acrimoto are now building very cool competitive 3 wheel vehicles.

At the recent LD Micro Conference I had a chance to check out the Acrimoto and talk to company execs.

Looks pretty cool, is electric, and oh by the way cost will be way North of where the Elio is, why???? Because that is reality not ELIO nonsense.

Check it out here         Acrimoto

 

Toyota   I  road  

 

This is never going to happen stay short ELIO or add to it if you can.

 

SELL Tesla, Inc. –TSLA Sept-2017   $376.00 Dec 17-18  price $338.40 * see note above

 

December 17-18 MODEL PORTFOLIO FOR TRICKLE RESEARCH, LLC.

 

Initiation

 

Price

Initiation

Price @

 

Stock

Symbol

Date

Allocation

Target

Cost Px.

12/12/2018

 

New Jersey Mining

NJMC

Multiple

5

$0.30

$0.12

$0.17

 

SRAX (Social Reality)

SRAX

Multiple

5

$7.50

$1.79

$2.60

 

Pure Cycle

PCYO

5/5/17

3

$12.00

$7.60

$9.81

 

Command Center

CCNI

9/8/17

5

$8.75

$4.44

$3.89

 

Endurance Exploration

EXPL

11/6/17

3

$0.29

$0.18

$0.13

 

Assure Holdings Corp.

ARHH

11/10/17

1

$5.75

$2.90

$1.60

 

AzurRx BioPharma

AZRZ

2/7/18

5

$10.25

$2.96

$1.76

 

Camino Minerals, Corp

CAMZF

4/6/18

4

$0.90

$0.26

$0.08

 

PetroShare Corp

PRHR

5/31/18

4

$1.90

$1.44

$0.48

 

Gold Resource Corp

GORO

7/30/18

5

$7.35

$6.49

$3.92

 

Summit Wirelss

WISA

9/28/18

4

$9.25

$4.30

$4.30

 

Alvoperto Energy, Ltd.

ALVOF

11/7/18

4

$1.10

$0.39

$0.34

 

 

 

Initiation

 Termination 

 

Price

Initiation

 

Terminated Coverage

Symbol

Date

Date

Allocation

Target

Price

Termination

ID Watchdog

IDW

10/13/16

8/28/2017

4

$0.42

$0.14

  Price

GrowGeneration

GRWG

6/20/17

12/21/17

4

$3.40

$2.00

$0.40  

Barfresh Food Group

BRFH

 

8/20/18

1

 

$0.55

$3.44

Semler Scientific

SMLR

12/27/17

11/7/18

          4

$15.00

$8.00

$31.99

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

For complete details and assumptions please see the assumptions and explanations document Click Here

For a review and details on 2017 performance and model portfolio assumptions  Click Here

*Please note Dave Lavigne in the principal in Trickle Research and is also the editor of the Black Swan Connection Newsletter and an ongoing contributor to SMM.

 

 

 

Published by:
Stock Market Manager
www.smm.global
All rights reserved

Editor:
David Lavigne
dave@t4partners.com
720-394-1019                 

CEO:
Carl Dilley
Cdilley@smm.global
727-823-3987 

SMM Distribution Update

Distribution (Reach)

 SMM Global Twitter Acct     (Impressions last 30 days)    1,414

 SMM Global Facebook Page  (Reach last-30 days)            6,462
             
 SMM Linkedin Page                (contacts)                         472

 SMM Youtube Channel            (followers)                           6

 SMM Instagram                      (followers)                       131      

              Direct Email                                                                 345,000

             Total                                                          353,485

 

Dec 17-18

COMPANY QUOTES, LISTINGS RESEARCH AND NEWS

Company

 

 

 

Premium

Research

News

(listing, quotes, news, research)

 

 

 

Profile

Updates

Updates

Aethlon Medical, Inc. (AEMD)

 

Profile

 

 

Alvopetro Energy, Ltd. (ALVOF)

 

Profile

11-13-18

News

Assure Holdings, Inc. (ARHH)

 

 

5-29-18

News

Antibe Therapeutics, Inc (ATBPF)

 

 Profile

 11-11-18

News

AzuerRx Biopharma, Inc. (AZRX)

 

9-24-18

News

Camino Minerals Corp. (CAMZF)

 

4-6-18

News

Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)

 

Profile

 

News

Chineseinvestors.com, Inc. (CIIX)

Profile

 

News

Clean Coal Technologies, Inc (CCTC)

Profile

 

News

Command Center , Inc. (CCNI)

 

 

11-13-18

News

Endurance Exploration Group, Ltd (EXPL)

 

 Profile

1-25-18

News

Ecom Products Group (EPGC)

 

 

 

News

FULLSHARE HOLDINGS LTD. (607) HK

 

9-7-18

News

Galaxy Gaming, Inc. (GLXZ)

 

 Profile

 

 

Guangdong Land Holdings Limited (124) HK

11-2-18

News

Magnegas, Inc. (MNGA)

 

 

 

News

MOBI724 Global Solutions, Inc. (MOBIF)

 

 

News

New Jersey Mining Company (NJMC)

 

5-17-18

News

Petroshare Corp. (PRHR)

 

 

8-23-18

News

Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc.

 

 

12-3-18

News

Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX)

 

 

11-28-18

News

Zynex, Inc. (ZYXI)

 

 

8-9-18

News

 

Go to ValuEngine.com

    
 

Dec 17, 2018 by Steve Hach

For today's bulletin, we take a look at General Electric $GE and provide a link to download a copy of our latest stock report.

--No Longer Electric

ValuEngine STRONG SELL GE Gets More Bad Press

General Electric Company (GE) operates as a technology and financial services company. Its segments include Energy Infrastructure, Aviation, Healthcare, Transportation, Home & Business Solutions and GE Capital. The company's Energy Infrastructure segment offers wind turbines; gas and steam turbines and generators. Its Aviation segment offers jet engines, turboprop and turbo shaft engines, aerospace systems and equipment. Its Healthcare segment provides medical imaging and information technologies, medical diagnostics, patient monitoring systems. Its Transportation segment provides drive technology solutions to various industries. Its Home and Business Solutions segment provides home appliances; lighting products, plant automation, hardware, software, and embedded computing systems. Its GE Capital segment offers commercial loans and leases, fleet management, financial programs, credit cards, personal loans and other financial services. General Electric Company is headquartered in Fairfield, Connecticut.

Click Here for Full Report

 

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 27.92% of our stocks assigned a

valuation and 10.01% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.

Nine sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

 

 

SMM Research Subscription Service
Black Swan Research

Subscribers will get Real Time notification as Research Reports and updates are available as well as latest press releases and news on the companies covered.

Black Swan Research coverage is a compilation of some of the best independent providers of Micro Cap Research.  The service focuses on micro-cap companies that are typically not followed by Wall Street analysts.  In addition our subscription research service includes ValuEngine research on over 5,000 stocks with stock valuations, Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations, and forecasted target prices.

 Click Here for Complete Description

See Below for current coverage and info regarding our Research providers

Trickle Research Click Here for More info>>

*Research on the following companies is available to BS Research or Trickle research subscribers only

  • Pure Cycle (PCYO)  -
  • Semler Scientific, Inc. (SMLR)

Greenridge Global, LLC Click Here for More Info>>

Consilium Global Research Click Here for More Info>>

Falcon Strategic Research Click Here for More Info>>

Catalyst Research Management Group Click Here for more Info>>

ValuEngine Click Here for More Info >>

ValuEngine.com (VE) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available.

To Subscribe Please click Here
 

 

Reg A or D 506(c)

If you have a Reg A or 506(c) offering you would like us to distribute to our database, please give us a ring or email to:
727-823-3987
cdilley@smm.global


Event Calendar Updates

LD Micro   
December 4-6

Luxe Sunset | Bel-Air, CA
Click Here for Info


Awesome turnout at LD Micro. After the problems with fires etc this turned out terrific in spite of some inclement weather. Hats off to Chris and his team!!

See the lead feature Article by Dave Lavigne.

 

Trickle Research and GVC Capital
Rocky Mountain Microcap Conference October 9, 2018.
BlackHawk, Colorado at Ameristar Resort

There was a great turnout and really well done presentations. Following are the links to presenting companies and look forward to research updates from Trickle Research

VolitionRX

OncoSec Medical Incorporated

AzurRx Biopharma, Inc.

Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc.

Zoned Properties, Inc.

Sierra Monitor Corporation

Biomerica, Inc.

New Jersey Mining Company

CBD Global Sciences

Where Food Comes From

AlvoPerto Energy, Ltd.
Social Reality, Inc.

If you’d like more information about any of the presenting companies please send us an email and we’ll put you in touch 

Read More

 

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