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Black Swan Connection: November 2017

Posted By Administration, Wednesday, November 22, 2017

November  2017

Our goal with the Black Swan Connection is to provide our subscribers, investors and financial professional compatriots outstanding investment insight that is a step above and outside of what will normally be found in mainstream financial press. To that end we have brought together seasoned, successful, and some of the brightest professionals in their respective fields to provide the articles and advice that is based on decades of practice in the field.

Happy Thanksgiving!!!
Wishing everyone a happy and healthy holiday and a time to take a step back and think of all we have to be thankful for.

 

Dave Lavigne Editor-Black Swan Connection

Reverse Stock Spits- The Good, the Bad … and the Irrelevant

By Dave Lavigne

Recently, one of our coverage companies (Command Center Inc. Symbol: CCNI) announced a 1:12 reverse stock split, which they are doing in conjunction with an intended “uplisting” to a major exchange.  The reverse split is a necessary component to the uplisting because major exchanges require minimum trading prices for the shares before considering the uplisting request. Our sense is that there is some grumbling in the street about the company’s reverse split decision, although the initial impact does not seem to be negative for the stock all things considered (they announced numbers recently as well).  I voiced my support for the reverse on the company’s earnings call largely because I think reverse stock splits are often quite appropriate, even in cases where uplistings are NOT topical.  On the face, reverse splits are an accounting nuance; a not particularly relevant in real terms.  However, I have often argued that reverse splits are a good way to realign a company’s level of business with its capitalization table.  I cover that a bit below.  I any case, the writeup below is one that I prepared for a company that was considering a reverse split, but was hung up on its negative connotation.  My charge was to provide the board of directors with a perspective that could remove the negative veil from the concept, and perhaps allow them to make a decision that in my view improves the transparency of the financial reporting of some companies.  I prepared this overview a little less than a year ago so some of the particulars of the uplisting tables/thresholds may have changed a bit, but I didn’t bother updating those because they are not germane to my main point here, which is that reverse stock splits are often a good idea and they are not detrimental to the value of public shares over any measurable periods of time provided the fundamentals of the company are sound. For the sake of relevance and brevity, the information below does not include the entirety of the document I originally prepared.     Read More

 

Great article on Medical Identity Fraud from Generali Assurance

Medical Identity Fraud – A Risk to Your Health and Wealth

Imagine this scenario: you’re sitting in a doctor’s office with a long-lasting fever after your camping trip. Because it may be an infection from a tick bite, the doctor decides to give you an antibiotic shot. She glances at your records, swabs your arm with alcohol, picks up the syringe and says “this little dose of penicillin should help…” and you interrupt: “wait, I’m allergic to penicillin.” “But, that’s not what your records say… we gave you penicillin last time you were here.”

Frightening? Yes. Impossible? Not at all.

By now, we are all aware that our financial information is a target for identity thieves. But did you know that your medical history and insurance profile are also at risk? Medical identity theft is on the rise and it can not only have crippling effects on your finances but can seriously put your health in jeopardy.

The Medical Identity Fraud Alliance, a group of concerned corporate and non-profit partners,  speculate that over 2 million Americans were put at risk of medical identity theft in 2014, a figure that leaped 22% from previous research. This doesn’t even take into account the nearly 80 million individuals affected by the Anthem data breach in 2015 - the country’s largest healthcare breach.          Read More

How to Protect Yourself

SMM has partnered with Generali Global Assistance to provide the most comprehensive and cost effective ID Theft protection available

While data breaches represent highly public examples of identity theft, identity fraud with its long term, time-consuming financial impacts, can occur months or years later. Our Identity Protection program provided by Generali Global Assistance consistently monitors the deep and dark web where stolen personal information is bought and sold, so that if suspicious activity does occur, we can take quick action to minimize the risk and resolve any issues.

To learn more about how you can protect your identity for less than $12.00/month, click here.

 

IT’S FOOTBALL SEASON
Big Ben and the Steelers got off to a slow start last night but they handed a butt-kickin big time to Tennessee. Ben passed for 20 of 23. When things gel for the Steelers they are bad news…The helmet catch by Antonio Brown will be replayed a gazillion times. Check it out!!

Our Football season contest.

Every week through superbowl we’re giving away $50.00 and at the end of every month a free subscription to the Black Swan Research Subscription (a $399 value)

No one signed up this week so here is last week’s winner. C’mon man nobody wants $50.00 ?? That’s a turkey and all the fixins!!

Last week’s winner is Cheryl Cooper from Lexington, SC and a check for $50.00 is headed her way. Here is her write up on Sweetness:

I wanted to suggest Walter Payton as a subject for your next feature. Known as Sweetness, he was the greatest running back of all time. His story is one of hard work, the willingness to go the extra mile, and talent. Watching him on the football field was a thing of beauty and grace in motion. Watching his life play out he was a humble man who was faced with unfortunate circumstances with his health. He faced those circumstances as he did on the football field, humbly and with grace. Unfortunately his passing was all too soon, but he left behind a legacy filled with sweetness.

Thank you,
Cheryl Cooper

 

Walter Payton a football Life

Well put Cheryl and thank you!

You could be the next winner!

Here is what you have to do:
Make sure you’re registered on our website and subscribe to the Black Swan Newsletter.

Click Here if you’re not already registered for some reason or need to update your profile.

Send me an email to: cdilley@smm.global telling me in a few sentences why you think your pick from the “A Football Life” video profiles should be the next to be featured in our newsletter.

From the winners we’ll draw a name and send you $50.00, publish your comments and enter you for the monthly Black Swan Research drawing. Yup, it’s that simple.

Last week’s pick is Walter Payton

Great story Check it out

 

We are excited to announce our new Research Subscription service.
Black Swan Research

Subscribers will get Real Time notification as Research Reports and updates are available as well as latest press releases and news on the companies covered.

Black Swan Research coverage is a compilation of some of the best independent providers of Micro Cap Research.  The service focuses on micro-cap companies that are typically not followed by Wall Street analysts.  In addition our subscription research service includes ValuEngine research on over 5,000 stocks with stock valuations, Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations, and forecasted target prices.

 Click Here for Complete Description

See Below for current coverage and info regarding our Research providers

Trickle Research Click Here for More info>>

Consilium Global Research Click Here for More Info>>

Falcon Strategic Research Click Here for More Info>>

Catalyst Research Management Group Click Here for more Info>>

ValuEngine Click Here for More Info >>

ValuEngine.com (VE) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available.

To Subscribe Please click Here

 

 

Premium Profiles and Executive Summaries

   New Jersey Mining
   Chineseinvestors.com, Inc.
   ID Watchdog, inc.
   Endurance Explorations Group, Inc.
   Aethlon Medical, Inc.
   Galaxy, Gaming, Inc.

Research Reports and Updates  
Assure Holdings Corp. (ARHH) Research Report 11-10-17

Command Center, Inc. (CCNI) Research Report 9-18-17
Trickle Research earnings update 11-15-17    12-24 Month target Price $.80

New Jersey Mining (NJMC) Research Report 1-18-17
Trickle Research earnings update 11-15-17    12-24 Month target Price $.21
-Allocation Upgrade 6-19-17
   -Research Earnings Update 4-17-17

Pulse Evolution Corp (PLFX) Research Report 9-18-17

Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX) Research Report 4-25-17
-Trickle Research Earnings Update 11-17-17 12-24 Month Target Price $7.50
-Trickle Research Note 10-25-17
-Trickle Research Note 8-28-17
-Trickle Research Earnings Update 8-21-17
-Trickle Research Allocation Update 6-7-17

 

Reg A Update

Updates on Reg A +


A nice article in Forbes November 17, 20117 on why a company may want to go the route of a Reg A registration as opposed to the traditional S-1 type of registration:

Level Brands' IPO Lists On The NYSE; How And Why They Switched To Regulation A+

Today Level Brands Inc became the seventh Regulation A+ IPO to complete and the second to list and trade on the NYSE American Exchange. The company raised its maximum of $12 million by selling 2 million shares at $6 each at a pre-money valuation of $35 million. The ticker is NYSE: LEVB

Martin Sumichrast, CEO of Level Brands Inc. said; “We were probably one week away from completing our S-1 IPO when we decided to change direction and make a Reg A+ IPO instead. We felt that with Kathy Ireland's huge affinity group as our focus we would do well to market our offering broadly and provide democratic access to our IPO – unlike the very limited availability that is usual for an S-1. Kathy has always been a disrupter, and she liked this approach." Kathy is Chairman Emeritus and has a significant role in the company. Advantages of Reg A+ over a traditional IPO.

"The ability to go out and market the offering and to talk to investors that Reg A+ provides is a welcome change, " he said.  Read More
 

 

Reg D 506(c)

Zero E Technologies, LLC.

Zero E is a pre-revenue company that has developed the ZEUS Motor™ (10 to 30 HP) that is: 1) the most efficient general purpose industrial electric motor ever developed, 2) the smallest, 3) the most robust, and 4) will be the least expensive when Zero E reaches economies of scale. This is a 506(c) offering is for $1.25 million to be raised over six months @ $8/share.  Read More

 

If you have a Reg A or 506(c) offering you would like us to distribute to our database, please give us a ring or email to:
727-823-3987
cdilley@smm.global

 

  Corporate News Updates
Assure Holdings, Inc. (ARHH)
11-13-17 Assure Holdings Performs First Neuromonitoring Case in Texas

Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)
11-3-17 Dr. Robert A. Kornfeld Joins Canbiola, Inc. (CANB) as Medical Advisor and Distributor

   Chineseinvestors.com, Inc. (CIIX)
11-16-17 ChineseInvestors.com, Inc. Announces That its Subsidiary ChineseHempOil.com, Inc. Launched its OptHemp Product Line on Amazon for Singles Day 2017

Ecom Products Group (EPGC)
8-18-17 Ecom Products Group Announces Completion of International Brands Direct Acquisition

Endurance Explorations Group, Inc. (EXPL)
9-14-17 Endurance Exploration Group reports no damage to survey and recovery vessels and work on Pulaski project to begin shortly.

Magnegas, Inc. (MNGA)
11-15-17 MagneGas Sources $5.0 Million Senior Debt Commitment, Repays $1.0MM Interim Financing

MOBI724 Global Solutions, Inc. (MOBIF)
10-30-17 Mobi724 Global Solutions Inc. Signs MOU with First Global Data to Implement Alternative Payment Solutions in the Philippines and Countries in Latin America

New Jersey Mining Company (NJMC)
11-14-17 New Jersey Mining Company Provides Third Quarter Update on Operations and Corporate Activities

Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX)
11-14-17 SRAX Reports Third Quarter 2017 Financial Results
 Increases Gross Profit Margin to 56% for Q3 2017, Up from 27% in Q3 2016 - - Improves Q3 2017 Operating Loss and Adjusted EBITDA Loss Compared to Q3 2016

 

True Nature Holding, Inc. (TNTY)
10-17-17 True Nature Holding, Inc. (TNTY) Seeks to Acquire Two ‘Compound’ Pharmaceutical Groups

 

 

Event Calendar Updates

Recent Events

NIBA New York Conference November 13-14, 2017

Conference was well attended and a lot of great companies presented.
Stay Tuned for announcement of next Conference

Presenting Companies-

3DBiopsy, Inc.
3i Diagnostics, Inc.
American Software Capital
Beaconforce
Cardiac Insight, Inc.
China Information Technology
deproot Funds
Digital Social Retail, Inc.
Digitrax Entertainment, Inc.
Dogness (International) Corporation
Four Springs Capital Trust
Flow Pharma, Inc.
General Sleep Corporation
Jerico Oil Corporation
Kineta, Inc.

Mira Technologies Group
My Elder Advocate
Omnity, Inc.
Oncolix, Inc.
Origin, Inc.
Portland Development Group Investments LLC
Qrons, Inc.
SpeechVive, Inc.
Urban Shipping Technology, Inc.
VerEdates.com
VIE Technologies
Vitellus LLC DBA “HappyNest”
VolitionRx Limited
WUND Healing Biopharmaceuticals

 

Go to ValuEngine.com

November 10, 2017

This week, we provide top-five ranked VE data for our Utilities Sector stocks. We take a look at our latest data on Nintendo NTDOY$ and provide a free download link for our stock report on the company.


VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 56.27% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 21.45% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Twelve sectors are calculated to be overvalued.


ValuEngine Index Overview

Index

Week Open

Friday PM

Change

% Change

YTD

DJIA

23533.96

23421.77

-112.19

-0.48%

18.52%

NASDAQ

6763.3

6751.31

-11.99

-0.18%

25.42%

RUSSELL 2000

1495.03

1478.18

-16.85

-1.13%

8.92%

S&P 500

2587.47

2581.2

-6.27

-0.24%

15.29%

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

43.73%

Stocks Overvalued

56.27%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

20.65%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

21.45%

 

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-MReturn

P/E Ratio

Aerospace

-1.01%

-1.78%

14.84%

24.17% overvalued

34.28%

22.69

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

-0.56%

-0.11%

13.87%

13.00% overvalued

14.24%

20.85

Construction

-0.43%

-0.92%

22.79%

10.59% overvalued

28.85%

22.66

Computer and Technology

-0.98%

-1.41%

27.76%

10.38% overvalued

21.76%

32.49

Industrial Products

-0.77%

-1.65%

13.82%

9.17% overvalued

23.84%

24.98

Utilities

-0.17%

-1.98%

19.31%

8.67% overvalued

16.69%

23.98

Finance

-0.18%

-0.51%

10.60%

6.26% overvalued

16.20%

18.65

Consumer Discretionary

-0.17%

0.08%

14.62%

2.86% overvalued

18.00%

24.69

Auto-Tires-Trucks

-1.27%

-3.01%

23.40%

2.80% overvalued

35.47%

14.42

Business Services

-0.42%

-1.20%

9.93%

1.91% overvalued

13.73%

25.54

Transportation

-0.32%

-0.22%

19.09%

1.39% overvalued

23.13%

23.17

Consumer Staples

0.13%

-0.74%

5.52%

1.24% overvalued

11.18%

24.25

Basic Materials

-0.40%

-0.25%

15.97%

2.15% undervalued

10.81%

26.42

Medical

-0.11%

-1.30%

17.09%

2.47% undervalued

15.93%

27.99

Retail-Wholesale

0.17%

-0.99%

0.00%

6.64% undervalued

7.57%

22.76

Oils-Energy

-0.04%

3.16%

5.55%

12.39% undervalued

2.74%

28.22

 


Sector Talk--Utilities

  Below, we present the latest data on Utilities stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis Service. Top- five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. 

Top-Five Utilities Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation (%)

Last 12-M Return (%)

NNBR

NN INC

28.6

26.43%

73.33%

CECE

CECO ENVIRNMNTL

8.51

40.66%

-11.17%

DE

DEERE & CO

134.44

45.85%

52.50%

HEES

H&E EQUIP SVCS

33.59

30.69%

149.18%

CMCO

COLUMBUS MCKINN

38.36

42.70%

102.11%

 

Top-Five Utilities Stocks--Momentum

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation (%)

Last 12-M Return (%)

CYRX

CRYOPORT INC

7.58

44.43%

254.21%

MTW

MANITOWOC INC

9.95

77.53%

155.13%

HEES

H&E EQUIP SVCS

33.59

30.69%

149.18%

HSC

HARSCO CORP

21.25

42.45%

128.49%

CSTM

CONSTELLIUM NV

11.55

18.74%

122.12%

 

Top-Five Utilities Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation (%)

Last 12-M Return (%)

OI

OWENS-ILLINOIS

23.82

-12.06%

28.06%

ZBRA

ZEBRA TECH CL A

112.7

13.03%

72.19%

ETN

EATON CORP PLC

79.38

11.97%

30.39%

RBC

REGAL BELOIT

80.2

11.04%

40.95%

BDC

BELDEN INC

81.93

8.09%

33.11%

 

Top-Five Utilities Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation (%)

Last 12-M Return (%)

MTW

MANITOWOC INC

9.95

77.53%

155.13%

CDXS

CODEXIS INC

6.25

73.02%

40.45%

CCC

CALGON CARBON

21.8

48.79%

44.85%

AIMC

ALTRA INDUS MOT

48.15

48.17%

64.90%

DE

DEERE & CO

134.44

45.85%

52.50%

 

 

Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

NINTENDO LTD (NTDOY) is the acknowledged worldwide leader in the creation of interactive entertainment. Nintendo has created such industry icons as Mario and Donkey Kong and launched franchises like The Legend of Zelda and Pok???mon. Nintendo manufactures and markets hardware and software for its popular home video game systems, including Nintendo 64 and Game Boy - the world's best-selling video game system.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on NINTENDO LTD for 2017-11-09. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that NINTENDO LTD has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Earnings Growth Rate.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Nintendo (NTDOY) from the link below.

Read our Complete Rating and Forecast Report HERE.

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

46.84

0.08%

3-Month

46.69

-0.24%

6-Month

47.69

1.90%

1-Year

47.22

0.90%

2-Year

45.63

-2.51%

3-Year

42.56

-9.06%

 

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

10.73% overvalued

Valuation Rank(?)

36

1-M Forecast Return

0.08%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

57

12-M Return

62.56%

Momentum Rank(?)

90

Sharpe Ratio

0.59

Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)

77

5-Y Avg Annual Return

22.05%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

89

Volatility

37.48%

Volatility Rank(?)

43

Expected EPS Growth

-14.80%

EPS Growth Rank(?)

10

Market Cap (billions)

53.04

Size Rank

98

Trailing P/E Ratio

46.18

Trailing P/E Rank(?)

38

Forward P/E Ratio

54.21

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

7

PEG Ratio

n/a

PEG Ratio Rank

n/a

Price/Sales

8.12

Price/Sales Rank(?)

14

Market/Book

4.82

Market/Book Rank(?)

29

Beta

0.63

Beta Rank

57

Alpha

0.36

Alpha Rank

90

 

 

ValuEngine.com is an Independent Research Provider (IRP), producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 5,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day.
Contact ValuEngine at (800) 381-5576 or support@valuengine.com  
Visit www.ValuEngine.com for more information

 

ValuEngine Capital Management LLC is a Registered Investment Advisory (RIA) firm that trades client accounts using ValuEngine's award-winning stock research. 
Contact ValuEngine Capital at info@valuenginecapital.com
Visit www.ValuEngineCapital.com for more information

 

 

 

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