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Black Swan Connection July 2017

Posted By Administration, Thursday, July 20, 2017

 


July 2017


Our goal with the Black Swan Connection is to provide our subscribers, investors and financial professional compatriots outstanding investment insight that is a step above and outside of what will normally be found in mainstream financial press. To that end we have brought together seasoned, successful, and some of the brightest professionals in their respective fields to provide the articles and advice that is based on decades of practice in the field.

Staying connected to what matters most is our mission!

TOP NEWS

Newsletter From Dave Lavigne

The Microcap Stigma

Dave Lavigne- Editor, Black Swan Connection

As some of you may have figured out, I provide proprietary microcap research under my own label; Trickle Research.  Stock Market Manager (“SMM”), which creates and distributes this newsletter, is the exclusive distributor of my research.  I have been preparing microcap research to a variety of endpoints for a good portion of my professional career, which began in 1984. In that regard, I have become an advocate for the space and many of the companies that occupy it.  My friend Carl Dilley, CEO of SMM, is also an advocate for the microcap space, which I think one can glean from his contributions to the Black Swan Connection.

Over the course of that “advocacy” I have often suggested that the “microcap” space is sometimes unfairly stereotyped or perhaps painted with a large undesirable brush.  For most, even the financially educated, the term “microcap” conjures the seedy underbelly of the investment world, which is supported by Hollywood with titles like “The Wolf of Wallstreet” and “Boiler Room”.  By the way, regulators do their share to reinforce that stigma, and they, as Carl often points out, do so with considerable zeal.    I think it is fair to say that the term “microcap” evokes far more negative reactions than positive. Again, as an advocate of the space, I think that is unfortunate.    Read More

Learn more about RevenueStripe...
 


Drain the Swamp

Having just celebrated the 4th of July thoughts should be again turning to how we have treated our veterans. If it was up to me the disgusting way the Veterans Administration healthcare system was managed over the last decade would have resulted in court martials and executions. I’m sure that prisoners in Guantanamo have received better medical care than some of our Vets here at home.

This is certainly a step in the right direction. As “Mr President” (Donald) has been known to say- “You’re fired”. Lets go. Either do your job and take care of these people or you’re down the road. Certainly not something the last administration seemed to take very seriously.

As a businessman, a round of firing the slackers once in a while has a very motivational impact on the remainder.

I think the general consensus from decades of union and bureaucratic malaise would suggest, “If you have a government job, you can sit on your butt, get paid well, with great benefits and god himself couldn’t fire you”.

President Donald Trump signed the Department of Veterans Affairs Accountability and Whistleblower Protection Act of 2017, on June 23 in the East Room of the White House in Washington, D.C.

From “The Blaze” July-10-2017

“Drain the swamp” was a favorite chant during President Donald Trump’s campaign, and it looks like he’s kept his promise at the office of Veterans Affairs.

A new report says more than 500 employees have been fired at the agency, and another 200 have been suspended.

The Daily Caller reported on statistics released by the department because of Veterans Affairs Secretary David Shulkin as a part of their commitment to transparency.

“Those disciplined include 22 senior leaders, more than 70 nurses, 14 police officers, and 25 physicians,” it was reported.

Trump repeated the promise constantly during his campaign that he would fix the scandalous reports from the Veterans Affairs offices. In July during his presidential campaign last year, then-candidate Trump promised “never again will we allow any veteran to suffer or die waiting for care.”

Trump said that the country would “take care of our veterans like they’ve never been taken care of before,” adding,  “we will pick up the bill … it’ll cost us less money and the care will be amazing.”

While some VA offices provide admirable care to our military, others have been crippled with inefficiency and incompetence to such a degree that they’ve been accused of causing deaths among those seeking health care.

In August, a veteran killed himself in the parking lot of a Veterans hospital in Long Island after being turned away for the help he was seeking. The 76-year-old went back to his car and shot himself.

According to another report in February, veterans seeking help on a crisis hotline were sent to voicemail for lack of resources. The calls were never returned.

In January, a VA official was arrested and charged with sexually assaulting a patient in Tomah, Wisconsin. The mental health employee faced seven charges of taking advantage of a vulnerable patient/veteran.

Conservative critics of the Veterans Affairs office have advocated for a free-market-based solution where those veterans seeking medical help would be given a voucher to arrange for their own health care instead of having to be funneled into the government-provided care. Shulkin has indicated that he wants to seek private industry solutions to the problems plaguing the care the government provides to veterans.

 

Securities Legislation Update

July 11th, 2017 by Laura Anthony, Esq.

SEC Chief Accountant Speaks On Financial Reporting

On June 8, 2017, the SEC Chief Accountant, Wesley R. Bricker, gave a speech before the 36th Annual SEC and Financial Reporting Institute Conference. The speech, which this blog summarizes, was titled “Advancing the Role of Credible Financial Reporting in the Capital Markets.” As usual, I’ve included commentary throughout.

Introduction and Role of the PCAOB

The speech begins with some general background comments and a discussion of the role of the PCAOB. Approximately half of Americans invest in the U.S. equity markets, either directly or through mutual funds and employer-sponsored retirement plans. The ability to judge the opportunities and risks and make investment choices depends on the quality of information available to the public and importantly, the quality of the accounting and auditing information. Mr. Bricker notes that “[T]he credibility of financial statements have a direct effect on a company’s cost of capital, which is reflected in the price that investors are willing to pay for the company’s securities.” Read More

 

Reg A Report

Another Exchange listed Reg A +

Congratulations to Dan and the folks at Boustead Securities!

Below is the press release- It actually sits at $13.03 as I write this-

Awesome to see these new issues doing well. That will be a big driver of new deals to come.

Boustead Securities Client ADOMANI First to IPO on NASDAQ Under the Jobs Act Regulation A+. Shares Up 92%.

June 19, 2017

Second Best-Performing IPO of 2017 with Shares Up 92% to $9.60 in Historic Offering Underwritten by Boustead

Los Angeles, June 19, 2017 -- ADOMANI, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADOM), a provider of advanced zero emission vehicle solutions, historically became the first Regulation A+ offering to  trade its shares on the NASDAQ Capital Market last week.  The ADOMANI offering was underwritten by Boustead Securities, LLC and ranks as the second best-performing IPO of 2017 according to data compiled by StreetInsider.com, with the ADOMANI share price up 92% to $9.60.   ADOMANI, Inc. and certain selling stockholders sold a total of 2,852,275 million shares in the offering at $5 per share, for a total of approximately $14.3 million.

Dan McClory, Head of Equity Capital Markets at Boustead Securities, LLC, the Lead Underwriter in the ADOMANI IPO, stated “It truly is an exceptional milestone for ADOMANI to become the first ever Reg A+ IPO to list on NASDAQ.  Boustead Securities congratulates ADOMANI for its pioneering achievement,” McClory continued.

 

From our friends at Reg A Money

Is a Regulation A+ Offering an IPO?

The answer to the “Is a regulation A+ offering an IPO” question is NO! It is certainly NOT an IPO – but it is similar in that it’s a viable means of raising capital for your business with the possibility of taking your company public on a major exchange such as the NASDAQ or NYSE. We’ve just seen that happen with the Myomo Regulation A+ offering, but going public in that manner is an option, NOT a requirement.

Most companies don’t even want to list on a major exchange because the reporting costs are so high. Instead, some are looking to list their companies on the OTCQB or OTCQX as they are much more cost-effective and then looking to up-list when they become more solid with their financials and goals. Reg.A+ allows you to take your offering to both accredited and non-accredited investors, which makes Reg.A+ even more desirable (and different) from a traditional IPO. Strategies such as these are regularly discussed on the "Reg.A Money Show" podcast.

Elio Motors update (ELIO)

Closed at $6.05.

No news releases since April: why? because they are out of money

“Fools and their money are soon parted”- It won’t be long now. Don’t be the last guy out

Next stop on the stock chart will be zero

Press gets better every day. This is only a matter of when ….

 

From Digital Trends July 10-17

Best laid plans of mobs and men: The 5 biggest crowdfunding failures of all time

Elio Motors launched a crowdfunding campaign promoting a new 3-wheeled electric vehicle that was supposed to hit the markets in 2014 with incredible fuel efficiency. The company was certainly good at one thing: Raising money from casual investors, to the tune of $17 million for its first crowdfunding round, including over 65,000 that reserved a model ahead of time. Elio even hit the road with a conference on how to properly raise money via crowdfunding.

Then … well, nothing happened. Elio Motors burned through its investment money in only a few short months, primarily on suspicious soft expenses easily summed up as “paychecks.” The supposed released date has been pushed back for years, Elio has failed to get any additional loans for production, and it is now obvious there will never be an Elio scooter. The company is currently selling its small amount of manufacturing equipment just to keep the lights on, and is expected to collapse entirely any time now.

 

 

Latest SEC Reg A listings Click Here>>


As the demand and new companies come on to get through and during registration we have been approached by several issuers to list and distribute news on Reg A and 506(c) offerings. To that end we have set up a new section on our website for that purpose.

Check often for new listings under the Public Offering Menu Item: http://www.smm.global/

 

Public Offering Listings

Reg A

Sanz Solutions, Inc. ( New Last Week)
Sanz Solutions offers shared service solutions for companies specializing in small businesses that provide routine services for residential and commercial clients specifically tailored to the janitorial, cleaning, lawn care and maintenance industries.
Miami Lakes, Florida - April 19, 2017 – Sanz Solutions, Inc. (Sanz) announced today it has launched its Regulation A+ Tier II Offering online at www.SanzRegA.com.   Read More

 

Myomo, Inc.

Myomo completed its initial public offering (IPO) under SEC Regulation A+, raising $5.0 Million through the sale of 665,498 shares of its common stock at a price to the public of $7.50 per share. The Company also closed on a simultaneous private sale of investment units comprised of restricted securities to accredited investors, majority of whom are early investors in Myomo, for total proceeds of $2.9 Million. The combined capital raised is $7.9 Million.

Myomo's common stock is now trading on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") MKT under the symbol "MYO" and is the first Regulation A+ issuer to list its securities on a national exchange. TriPoint Global Equities, LLC, working with its online division BANQ® (www.banq.co), was the lead managing selling agent and bookrunner for the offering. CrowdfundX was the digital marketing agency of record. Read More

 

Reg D 506(c)

Zero E Technologies

Zero E is a pre-revenue company that has developed the ZEUS Motor™ (10 to 30 HP) that is: 1) the most efficient general purpose industrial electric motor ever developed, 2) the smallest, 3) the most robust, and 4) will be the least expensive when Zero E reaches economies of scale. This is a 506(c) offering is for $1.25 million to be raised over six months @ $8/share.  Read More

Endurance Exploration Group, Inc.

Endurance Exploration Group, LLC was formed in 2009 to research and develop feasibility methodologies to identify, acquire clear title to and ultimately salvage the cargos of shipwrecks.    The Company’s most imminent project previously nicknamed “Sailfish” is (was) a side-wheeled steamship called the “Connaught”.  The Connaught, which EXPL located in 2014, was lost in 1860 after encountering rough waters and catching fire en route from Great Britain to the United States. In July 2015, US Federal Courts granted EXPL exclusive salvage rights to the Connaught but by that time the salvage season/window was well under way.

This is a 506(c) offering of up to $3,750,000 (15,000,000 restricted shares) of its common stock at $0.25 per share. Read More

 

If you have a Reg A or 506(c) offering you would like us to distribute to our database, please give us a ring or email to:
727-823-3987
cdilley@smm.global

 

A lot of Brokerage and other firms are now getting in the act.

First page of a Google search looks like the following. Keep in mind you don’t get on the first page unless you’re paying Google to make that happen.    Read More…..
 

Event Calendar Updates

Some Upcoming Events

Island Stock Transfer and Stock Market Manager will be sponsoring the Inaugural Rocky Mountain Microcap Conference Hosted by GVC Capital and Trickle Research in Denver September, 25th. Look for details on our website soon…

Other events-

West Virginia Bankers Association | White Sulfur Springs, WV (Jul 23-26)
37th Annual Growth Conference | Boston, MA (Aug 9-10)
CrowdInvest Summit | Los Angeles, CA (Sep 6-7)
IR Magazine Conference - Small Cap 2017 | New York, NY (Sep 13)

 

 

Published by:
Stock Market Manager
www.smm.global
All rights reserved

Editor:
David Lavigne
dave@t4partners.com
720-394-1019                 

CEO:
Carl Dilley
Cdilley@smm.global
727-823-3987 

The Black Swan 7-17 Index
Newsletter

ValueEngine July

New Company Profiles:
    Myomo, Inc. (MYO)
     Bagger Dave’s Burger Tavern (BDVB)
     Diversified Restaurant Holdings, Inc. (SAUC)
     Enviroleach Tech (EVLLF)
     Spindle, Inc. (SPDL)
     Life Clips, Inc. (LCLP)
    Cipherloc Corp. (CLOK)
    Profire Energy, Inc. (PFIE)  

 

Premium Profiles and Executive Summaries
   New Jersey Mining
   Chineseinvestors.com, Inc.
   ID Watchdog, inc.
   Endurance Explorations Group, Inc.
   Aethlon Medical, Inc.
   Galaxy, Gaming, Inc.

Research Reports and Updates  
Barfresh Food Group, Inc. Research Report 3-27-17
Research Earnings Update 5-18-17

New Jersey Mining Research Report 1-18-17
-Allocation Upgrade 6-19-17
   -Research Earnings Update 4-17-17
  
ID Wtachdog Research Report 10-13-16
-Acquisition Update 6-19-17
       -Research Update 2-26-17

Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX) Research Report 4-25-17
-Trickle Research Allocation Update 6-7-17

 

 Corporate News Updates
Barfresh Food Group, Inc. (BRFH)
6-22-17 Barfresh Expands Customer Base in Many High-Volume Foodservice Locations
6-12-17 Barfresh to Present at the 17th Annual Oppenheimer Consumer Conference
5-15-17 Barfresh Food Group's (BRFH) CEO Riccardo Delle Coste on Corporate Update Conference (Transcript)
   

 Canbiola, Inc. (CANB) fka (WRAP)
6-8-17 Canbiola, Inc. (CANB) Begins National Advertising Initiative
5-30-17 Canbiola, Inc. (CANB) Announces Addition of Smita Ohri M.D. as Medical Advisor

 

   Chineseinvestors.com, Inc. (CIIX)
7-12-17 ChineseInvestors.com, Inc. (CIIX) Aims to Become One-Stop-Shop for Chinese MMJ Patients
7-10-17 ChineseInvestors.com, Inc. Announces its Wholly-owned Subsidiary, Chinesehempoil.com Inc., Will Officially Accept Bitcoin Payments
6-29-17 CFN Media Interviews ChineseInvestors.com CEO Warren Wang

 

Endurance Explorations Group, Inc. (EXPL)
Endurance Exploration Group, Inc. (OTCQB: EXPL) Announces an Offering of Up to $3,750,000 (15,000,000 Restricted Shares) of its Common Stock at $0.25 per Share
Endurance Exploration Group, Inc. Locates Second Sunken Shipwreck; Files Admiralty Claim in US Federal Court for Salvage Rights
 EXPL Article “The Deep”
 
Magnegas, Inc. (MNGA)
6-20-17 MagneGas Expands Industrial Gas & Welding Supply Business Executive Sales Team with Appointment of Senior Supply Chain Industry Executive
6-13-17 MagneGas Awarded a $432,000 USDA Grant to Commercialize Sterilization Technology


MOBI724 Global Solutions, Inc. (MOBIF)
7-3-17 Marcel Vienneau Early Warning Press Release regarding Mobi724 Global Solutions Inc.
6-30-17 Mobi724 Global Solutions Inc. (CSE: MOS) Final Issuance of Shares Pursuant to Provisions Concerning the Acquisition of the remaining 49% Shares of Mobi724 Solutions Inc. ("Solutions Inc.")




New Jersey Mining Company (NJMC)
6-8-17 New Jersey Mining to Expand Golden Chest Open Pit by More than Tenfold
New Jersey Mining Company Provides First Quarter Update on Operations and Corporate Activities
- Trickle Research Earnings Updates 4-17-17

 

Sanz Solutions, Inc. (Private)
-Miami Lakes, Florida - April 19, 2017 – Sanz Solutions, Inc. (Sanz) announced today it has launched its Regulation A+ Tier II Offering online at www.SanzRegA.com.

 

Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX)
6-28-17 SRAX Launches Boosted Facebook Post Tool in SRAX Social
SRAX (NASDAQ: SRAX) Presenting at 18th Annual B. Riley Co. Investor Conference on May 24
Trickle Research Initiates Coverage 4-25-17
5-3-17 SRAX Announces Close of Additional $1.28 Million of Secured Convertible Debentures

 

True Nature Holding, Inc. (TNTY)
6-1-17 True Nature Holding Notes Progress on New Subsidiary
5-18-17 True Nature Announces Targeted Community Health Initiative

 

 

Go to ValuEngine.com
July 14, 2017

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This week, we provide top-five ranked VE data for our Consumer Staples stocks. We take a look at our latest data on Autobytel $ABTL. 

VALUATION: Overvalued stocks now make up 58.91% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 23.26% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Thirteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued.



ValuEngine Index Overview

Index

Week Open

Friday PM

Change

% Change

YTD

DJIA

21381.23

21636.43

255.2

1.19%

9.48%

NASDAQ

6156.03

6313.98

157.95

2.57%

17.29%

RUSSELL 2000

1415.28

1429.66

14.38

1.02%

5.34%

S&P 500

2424.51

2459.82

35.31

1.46%

9.87%

 

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

40.62%

Stocks Overvalued

59.38%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

17.87%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

23.74%

 

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-MReturn

P/E Ratio

Aerospace

-0.06%

2.06%

5.85%

17.03% overvalued

32.27%

21.70

Computer and Technology

0.11%

2.14%

20.09%

15.23% overvalued

21.26%

31.50

Industrial Products

-0.18%

0.36%

7.61%

11.91% overvalued

19.80%

24.57

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

0.21%

1.16%

11.17%

11.77% overvalued

12.90%

20.68

Construction

0.29%

0.16%

10.87%

11.18% overvalued

18.43%

23.17

Finance

0.20%

0.57%

6.42%

8.76% overvalued

15.45%

18.25

Utilities

-0.20%

-0.78%

10.86%

8.14% overvalued

9.65%

24.76

Consumer Discretionary

0.13%

-0.58%

9.48%

6.86% overvalued

17.18%

26.86

Transportation

0.45%

0.97%

10.31%

6.78% overvalued

17.78%

21.21

Auto-Tires-Trucks

0.79%

0.89%

16.22%

5.66% overvalued

35.31%

14.86

Business Services

-0.02%

0.90%

6.38%

4.95% overvalued

5.44%

24.01

Medical

-0.11%

-0.13%

17.10%

2.79% overvalued

10.53%

29.26

Consumer Staples

0.13%

-0.65%

4.66%

1.74% overvalued

8.00%

25.22

Basic Materials

0.10%

0.57%

6.49%

3.78% undervalued

6.76%

25.02

Retail-Wholesale

0.72%

-1.48%

-0.29%

4.00% undervalued

2.46%

23.31

Oils-Energy

0.06%

-0.26%

-4.03%

10.61% undervalued

-4.22%

27.85

 


Sector Talk--Consumer Staples

  Below, we present the latest data on Consumer Staples stocks from our Professional Stock Analysis ServiceTop- five lists are provided for each category.  We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. 

Top-Five Consumer Staples Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation (%)

Last 12-M Return (%)

SAFM

SANDERSON FARMS

114.9

30.16%

28.51%

SVU

SUPERVALU INC

3.25

-40.27%

-39.81%

TSN

TYSON FOODS  A

59.92

-14.66%

-12.73%

TUP

TUPPERWARE BRND

69.02

10.98%

16.14%

MDP

MEREDITH CORP

57.2

-1.65%

3.77%

 

Top-Five Consumer Staples Stocks--Momentum

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation (%)

Last 12-M Return (%)

STKL

SUNOPTA INC

9.9

61.23%

87.50%

FRPT

FRESHPET INC

16.15

95.12%

55.14%

NYT

NY TIMES  A

17.5

35.71%

39.00%

BREW

CRAFT BREW ALLN

17.4

46.40%

37.12%

SAFM

SANDERSON FARMS

114.9

30.16%

28.51%

 

Top-Five Consumer Staples Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation (%)

Last 12-M Return (%)

TSN

TYSON FOODS  A

59.92

-14.66%

-12.73%

NWL

NEWELL BRANDS

53.02

-10.81%

7.57%

SAFM

SANDERSON FARMS

114.9

30.16%

28.51%

SVU

SUPERVALU INC

3.25

-40.27%

-39.81%

MDP

MEREDITH CORP

57.2

-1.65%

3.77%

 

Top-Five Consumer Staples Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation (%)

Last 12-M Return (%)

FRPT

FRESHPET INC

16.15

95.12%

55.14%

STKL

SUNOPTA INC

9.9

61.23%

87.50%

COT

COTT CORP QUE

14.51

48.03%

-2.49%

BREW

CRAFT BREW ALLN

17.4

46.40%

37.12%

NYT

NY TIMES  A

17.5

35.71%

39.00%

 

 

Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers, 
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Autobytel, Inc. (ABTL) is an internationally branded online automotive commerce company that provides consumers with automotive solutions throughout the lifecycle of vehicle ownership. The company owns Internet sites for new and pre-owned vehicle information and automotive services that link buyers and sellers in an information-rich environment. Through the company's Web sites consumers can research pricing, specifications and other information regarding new and pre-owned vehicles and purchase, finance, lease, insure, sell or maintain their vehicles.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on Autobytel. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that Autobytel has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Price Sales Ratio. 

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Autobytel, Inc. (ABTL) from the link below.

Read our Complete Rating and Forecast Report HERE.

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

12.20

0.51%

3-Month

12.13

-0.10%

6-Month

11.79

-2.87%

1-Year

12.88

6.07%

2-Year

11.54

-4.97%

3-Year

11.37

-6.32%

 

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

28.27% undervalued

Valuation Rank(?)

 87

1-M Forecast Return

0.51%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

 85

12-M Return

-18.90%

Momentum Rank(?)

 21

Sharpe Ratio

0.56

Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)

 77

5-Y Avg Annual Return

24.17%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

 91

Volatility

43.35%

Volatility Rank(?)

 38

Expected EPS Growth

5.61%

EPS Growth Rank(?)

 30

Market Cap (billions)

0.11

Size Rank

 34

Trailing P/E Ratio

12.02

Trailing P/E Rank(?)

 88

Forward P/E Ratio

11.38

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

 78

PEG Ratio

2.14

PEG Ratio Rank

 22

Price/Sales

0.69

Price/Sales Rank(?)

 78

Market/Book

1.74

Market/Book Rank(?)

 60

Beta

0.84

Beta Rank

 48

Alpha

-0.22

Alpha Rank

 21

 

 

ValuEngine.com is an Independent Research Provider (IRP), producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 5,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day.
Contact ValuEngine at (800) 381-5576 or
 support@valuengine.com  
Visit www.ValuEngine.com for more information

 
 
 
 
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